Government set to face no-confidence vote

The BJP-led government faces a no-confidence vote triggered by opposition parties over the coming days. We highly doubt the motion will lead to the fall of the government, given that the BJP holds a majority in the lower house of parliament. But the motion is symptomatic of the parliamentary inertia that often precedes elections in India. Further disruptions to parliament are likely, which dampens the prospect of meaningful reforms being implemented prior to next year’s general election.