India Economics Weekly Will India’s electronics hub get a new lead man? Tamil Nadu’s election result has introduced new uncertainty into India's most important electronics manufacturing hub. Actor-turned-politician C Joseph Vijay’s TVK party has fallen just short of an... 8th May 2026 · 4 mins read
India Economics Weekly Aviation sector under increasing stress Unlike the cost of automotive fuel, aviation fuel costs in India have been rising since the start of the Iran war, particularly for international flights. With airlines' margins under pressure - and... 1st May 2026 · 3 mins read
India Economics Weekly Inflation worries outweigh growth risks The MPC minutes of the RBI’s April meeting – in which the repo rate was left unchanged at 5.25% – released this week suggest that the upside risks to inflation from the energy shock are a bigger... 24th April 2026 · 3 mins read
India Economics Weekly Middle East turmoil hitting India’s trade The narrowing in India's goods trade deficit in March is largely a result of the Middle East conflict. Energy imports from the Gulf have collapsed, with an increase in oil shipments from Russia... 17th April 2026 · 3 mins read
India Economics Weekly India local elections, RBI on hold India’s state election cycle has resumed, with voting now underway in Kerala and Assam, to be followed by Puducherry, Tamil Nadu and West Bengal later in April, with results due on 4th May. These... 10th April 2026 · 3 mins read
India Economics Weekly Rupee on a rollercoaster The RBI couldn't prevent the rupee from sliding to a record low against the US dollar this week, though it did eventually manage to trigger a sharp rebound with stricter controls on FX speculation... 2nd April 2026 · 3 mins read
India Economics Weekly Government steps up response, inflation target retained After initially moving quite slowly, India’s government has stepped up its response to the impact of the Middle East conflict over the past few days. Excise duties on fuel exports have been hiked to... 27th March 2026 · 3 mins read
India Economics Weekly Energy shortages rather than prices the imminent threat for India Regulated prices insulate consumers in India from surges in global energy prices but they are no protection against – and, indeed, they contribute to – shortages of fuels and related products. We’ve... 20th March 2026 · 5 mins read
India Economics Weekly LPG shortage taking a toll in India India's Finance Ministry today announced an "Economic Stabilisation Fund" which will be partly used to boost fertiliser subsidies, but a halt to supply of LNG would nevertheless cause major disruption... 13th March 2026 · 5 mins read
India Economics Weekly Russian oil reprieve, but other risks from Iran conflict mount One of India's key exposures to the Middle East conflict is higher oil prices, so news that the US has temporarily eased sanctions on Russian oil purchases will have brought some relief in New Delhi... 6th March 2026 · 5 mins read
India Economics Weekly Policymakers eye stronger non-US relations The latest tariff drama underlines how unreliable the US has become as a trade partner under the second Trump administration. That has prompted New Delhi to strengthen ties with other countries as an... 27th February 2026 · 3 mins read
India Economics Weekly India’s AI summit meets the “AI scare trade” The optics of this week's AI Impact Summit in New Delhi were powerful, but the timing was awkward. India’s business consulting and software firms have been major casualties in the global equity sell... 20th February 2026 · 5 mins read
India Economics Weekly US trade deal looking more palatable The fact sheet for the India-US trade deal was published at the start of this week, but by Wednesday it had been quietly revised. Two key changes stand out and improve the deal’s economic viability... 13th February 2026 · 4 mins read
India Economics Weekly A pivotal (and positive) week The net result of an extraordinary week encompassing the FY26/27 Union Budget, an RBI meeting and an announcement of a trade deal with the US is that both near-term and long-term economic prospects... 6th February 2026 · 5 mins read
India Economics Weekly Budget, RBI take centre stage after historic EU trade deal After the announcement this week of the long-awaited India-EU trade deal, attention will quickly shift back to domestic policy. The Union Budget on Sunday will reveal how the Finance Ministry will... 30th January 2026 · 4 mins read
India Economics Weekly Capital outflows, India-EU trade deal, Budget preview Foreign investors have remained net sellers of Indian equities in the early stages of 2026 and it's likely that outflows persist for a while yet. That is unlikely to cause external strains but it will... 23rd January 2026 · 3 mins read