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Russia-Ukraine war risks renewed trade disruptions

The latest trade data suggest that the Omicron wave caused limited disruption at the turn of the year. And, for now, it looks like the impact of the Russia-Ukraine war on world trade will be small in aggregate. But the hit would become much larger if energy trade with Russia were cut off. And there is also a chance that Western sanctions will worsen bottlenecks – and hence dent trade – in other goods, such as autos.

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