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Bank Indonesia meanders to the exit

Bank Indonesia (BI) left its policy rate at 6.5% today, as expected, and gave no indication that it is thinking about raising rates soon. We believe that the risks to inflation from keeping policy rates too low for too long are far higher than the risks to the economic upswing from moving rates up too early. We still expect a hike in Q1 2010, but the first move now looks like being in February or March.

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