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Survey of Manufacturing (Mar.)

March's 1.9% m/m increase in manufacturing sales volumes supports our view that monthly GDP, after declining by 0.2% m/m in February, rebounded by at least 0.3% m/m the next month. Until we see the wholesale and retail trade figures due later this week and next, though, we are sticking with our first-quarter annualised GDP growth estimate of 1.5%.

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