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Global Economics Update Oil price slump not a positive for global economy While falling oil prices have historically been deemed a net positive for global demand, there are several reasons to think that the latest slump will only add to the immediate headwinds facing the... 9th March 2020 · 3 mins read
Global Economics Focus Could the coronavirus trigger a business debt crisis? Our current assumption is that the virus-related disruption is not severe enough to prompt a widespread business debt crisis. But if the virus triggers a sharper drop in profits or a bigger rise in... 6th March 2020 · 29 mins read
Global Economics Update How bad could the coronavirus hit get? Given the uncertainty about how the coronavirus will evolve, and how governments will respond, it is easy to envisage ways in which the hit to global GDP will be larger than the 1%-pt we have now... 4th March 2020 · 6 mins read
Global Economics Update G7 leaves door open to rate cuts, but no promises Today’s G7 statement about likely measures to tackle the effects of the coronavirus fell short of hopes of a major coordinated policy response. This raises the risk that central banks will disappoint... 3rd March 2020 · 2 mins read