Commodities Weekly Demand concerns back on the menu Commodity prices generally fell earlier this week on the back of investors’ growing concerns about the outlook for commodities demand. Later in the week, the release of softer-than-expected US Q1 GDP... 28th April 2023 · 6 mins read
Green Transition Chart Pack Renewable costs: what goes up must go down? In this new quarterly publication, the Capital Economics’ Climate and Commodities teams will track and analyse developments in the transition to a greener global economy. The sharp increases in the... 26th April 2023 · 10 mins read
Commodities Weekly Prices to be steered by developed markets next week After a positive start to the week on the back of China’s strong Q1 GDP data, commodity prices subsequently eased back on expectations of higher interest rates and worries about demand in advanced... 21st April 2023 · 6 mins read
Metals Data Response Global Steel Production (Mar.) There were clear signs of a pick-up in global steel production in March, led by China, but output in the EU also ticked up. However, the rise in supply is going hand in hand with increasing stocks. We... 21st April 2023 · 2 mins read
Metals Demand Monitor Metals Demand Monitor (Jan.) Our in-house demand proxies for industrial metals picked up at the start of 2023, which is consistent with China re-opening and resilient macroeconomic data in most advanced economies. What’s more, we... 19th April 2023 · 2 mins read
Commodities Weekly Prices starting to look on borrowed time Commodity prices received a boost from expectations that the Fed is nearing the end of its tightening cycle and the weaker US dollar this week, but we think that it is only a matter of time before the... 14th April 2023 · 6 mins read
Commodities Update China’s commodity imports probably close to a peak China’s commodity imports generally rose strongly in March which we think reflects higher demand as a result of the re-opening of the economy. While April data may also be strong, we expect import... 13th April 2023 · 2 mins read
Commodities Weekly Oil will be scarcer than previously expected The surprise announcement last weekend by OPEC+ countries that they would make voluntary oil production cuts, even before the OPEC advisory committee met on Monday, pushed oil prices higher by about... 6th April 2023 · 6 mins read
Energy Rapid Response OPEC output cuts point to a large market deficit in Q4 Yesterday, OPEC+ members announced voluntary cuts to production from May until the end of the year. In total, the cuts amount to 1.16m bpd or about 1.1% of global supply, with Saudi Arabia accounting... 3rd April 2023 · 2 mins read
Event Drop-In: OPEC’s surprise cut – Economics, markets, geopolitics 3rd April 2023, 3:00PM BST In the wake of the surprise move by OPEC+ to cut oil production, we held a special online briefing about the decision’s economic and market implications – as well as what this signals about global...
Commodities Outlook The energy crisis is over, but prices to stay elevated We expect most commodity prices to drift lower in the near term as advanced economies enter mild recessions and financial market risk aversion persists. A stronger US dollar will also weigh on prices... 31st March 2023 · 41 mins read
Energy Data Response US Weekly Petroleum Status Report Commercial crude stocks fell sharply this week as imports fell to a two-year low and refinery activity increased. Meanwhile, product demand continued to expand. As higher interest rates translate into... 29th March 2023 · 2 mins read
Commodities Weekly Not out of the woods yet Just as it seemed as though stability had been restored in financial markets, a renewed bout of selling of bank stocks took place in Europe this morning. And there are a number of smaller US banks... 24th March 2023 · 6 mins read
Energy Update Henry Hub prices to be rising by end-2023 US natural gas prices have plummeted recently amid subdued demand and elevated stocks. However, demand is expected to revive this year and next, which will put upward pressure on prices. 22nd March 2023 · 2 mins read
Commodities Weekly Prices battered, financial conditions to be in focus Commodity markets were not spared the effects of widespread turmoil in the global banking system. Most prices ended the week lower as investors fled risky assets. The gold and silver prices bucked... 17th March 2023 · 6 mins read
Energy Data Response US Weekly Petroleum Status Report Commercial crude stocks rose this week, but product stocks fell. That said, the bigger picture remains one of subdued domestic demand, which we expect to remain the case for some time yet. 15th March 2023 · 2 mins read