UK Economics Rapid Response Bank of England Policy Announcement (5th Nov. 2026) 5th November 2026 · 3 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Economics Update RBA is probably done tightening The RBA lifted its policy rate to an 18-year high today but noted that monetary conditions are now restrictive. We expect the Bank’s next move to be a rate cut, but not until the second half of next... 3rd November 2026 · 3 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Rapid Response Reserve Bank of Australia Meeting (Nov. 26) The RBA lifted its policy rate to an 18-year high today, but noted that monetary conditions are now restrictive. Accordingly, we expect the Bank’s next move to be a rate cut. 3rd November 2026 · 2 mins read
Europe Economics Weekly Indirect effects of energy prices still modest National inflation data published today suggest that the euro-zone inflation rate will have risen to 4.0% in October and there is growing evidence that higher energy prices are pushing up inflation... 30th October 2026 · 7 mins read
Japan Economics Update BoJ will resume tightening cycle in December The Bank of Japan delivered no surprises when it kept its policy rate unchanged today and declared victory in its quest to lift inflation towards its 2% target. We expect the next rate hike to come in... 30th October 2026 · 3 mins read
Japan Rapid Response Bank of Japan Meeting (October 26) The Bank of Japan delivered no surprises when it kept its policy rate unchanged today and declared victory in the fight against deflation. We expect the next rate to come in December, with rates... 30th October 2026 · 2 mins read
Middle East & North Africa Rapid Response Egypt Interest Rate Announcement (Oct. 2026) The Central Bank of Egypt’s unexpected 100bp hike to its policy rate (to 20.00%) should be interpreted as an effort by policymakers to provide some support to the pound without resorting to heavy FX... 29th October 2026 · 2 mins read
BoE Watch Will insurance hikes spiral into higher rates for longer? The Bank of England will almost certainly raise interest rates from 3.75% to 4.00% at its meeting on Thursday 5th November and may lay the ground for a rise to 4.25% shortly after. We don’t think this... 29th October 2026 · 8 mins read
US Economics Update Warsh reforms to enter a new phase next year While today’s decision by the FOMC to leave interest rates unchanged was accompanied by two hawkish dissents, this was not a huge surprise, only confirming our strong suspicion ahead of the meeting... 28th October 2026 · 3 mins read
US Rapid Response US Fed Policy Announcement (Oct. 2026) Officials urged a gradualist approach to tightening during the inter-meeting period, and this was reflected in today’s decision to leave the fed funds target range unchanged at 3.75%-4.00%. That said... 28th October 2026 · 2 mins read
Canada Economics Update Bank of Canada embarks on a cautious hiking cycle The conservative messaging surrounding the Bank of Canada’s decision to raise the policy rate supports our view that investors are being overly presumptuous in expecting three further hikes. We still... 28th October 2026 · 3 mins read
Canada Rapid Response Bank of Canada Policy Announcement (Oct. 2026) The Bank of Canada’s decision to raise the policy rate shows the balance of risks has now tipped towards the threat of energy-driven inflation over the downside risks from trade tensions. The Bank... 28th October 2026 · 3 mins read
RBA Watch Hawkish RBA will hike again for good measure With inflationary pressures unrelenting, the RBA will lift its cash rate by 25bp to an 18-year high of 4.85% at its November meeting. That hike will put policy settings well and truly into restrictive... 28th October 2026 · 8 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Economics Update RBNZ still on course to tighten a bit further The RBNZ’s decision to leave rates on hold today was finely balanced and the Committee signalled that further tightening remained likely. That said, the Bank’s cautious approach supports our view that... 28th October 2026 · 3 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Rapid Response RBNZ Meeting (Oct. 2026) While the RBNZ surprised with a hold at its meeting today, it continued to signal that further tightening was in the pipeline. 28th October 2026 · 2 mins read
Europe Economics Weekly No quick fix in sight for France; ECB to hold rates This week’s PMI data suggest that France’s political and fiscal crises are taking an increasing toll on the economic outlook. And with little prospect of meaningful fiscal consolidation before next... 23rd October 2026 · 7 mins read
