Bonds & Equities Making sense of the changing nature of the AI capex boom US hyperscalers are increasingly using leases as an alternative to capital spending. This Update considers why that is happening and its implications for them, the lessors, and the economy more... 31st October 2025 · 5 mins read
Middle East & North Africa Economics Weekly Saudi Arabia’s FII: PIF and AI dominate the headlines Comments at the Future Investment Initiative in Saudi Arabia this week suggest that the Public Investment Fund will take a step back from driving investment in the Kingdom, paving the way for greater... 30th October 2025 · 6 mins read
India Economics Update AI offers several upsides to India despite BPO disruption Recent lay-off announcements from several major IT firms in response to advances in artificial intelligence (AI) offer a stark glimpse of the technology’s potential to disrupt India’s business process... 29th October 2025 · 4 mins read
Commodities Update A primer on AI and electricity demand While data centres will remain a small share of global electricity consumption, the uneven spread of their power demands means their influence on power markets will be felt much more acutely in... 28th October 2025 · 4 mins read
Europe Economics Update Europe being left behind in the AI boom While huge investment in AI has been driving US GDP growth this year, Europe has seen a negligible boost to investment. And it seems unlikely that AI investment in Europe will increase by much in the... 14th October 2025 · 4 mins read
US Economics Update Answering your questions on the economic outlook and AI We held an online Drop-in session yesterday (see here for a recording) to discuss the US economic outlook. This Update answers several of the questions we received, including the role that AI will... 8th October 2025 · 7 mins read
Equities Update UK-US valuation gap reflects more than just AI hype We expect the UK stock market will continue to underperform its more tech-heavy US counterpart as enthusiasm for AI continues to grow. What’s more, if the bubble in AI were to burst, we think there is... 8th October 2025 · 4 mins read
China Economics Weekly Early signals of Five-Year Plan priorities China's 15th Five-Year Plan will be finalised at the Fourth Plenum later this month. There are limited signs so far of a significant shift in the leadership's priorities – it seems likely that... 3rd October 2025 · 5 mins read
US Economics Update AI splurge an upside risk to near-term growth The strength in IT equipment investment this year suggests the shift towards AI development and adoption is happening even sooner than our initial upbeat assumptions, posing an upside risk to the near... 10th September 2025 · 3 mins read
Commodities Update Are data centres driving up US electricity prices? Electricity prices in the US have been hitting the headlines, with some laying the blame at the feet of the AI rollout and data centre construction. This Update answers key questions on what is... 3rd September 2025 · 4 mins read
China Economics Weekly China spurns Nvidia as it plans domestic AI boom Rather than welcoming improved access to Nvidia chips, Chinese officials are discouraging purchases and focusing on boosting domestic chip output. This dovetails with a wider AI+ plan, fleshed out... 29th August 2025 · 6 mins read
Emerging Markets Economics Chart Pack Emerging Markets Chart Pack (Aug. 2025) Our View: The Q2 GDP figures out so far point to robust growth across much of the emerging world, but we think growth will soften over the second half of the year. While growth across much of Asia... 14th August 2025 · 1 min read
US Economics Update Is the economy already benefitting from an AI boom? Investment in both computer hardware and software surged in the first half of this year, which could be a sign that the AI boom is now boosting economic growth. Most of that hardware is imported... 7th August 2025 · 3 mins read
Commodities Focus How the AI race will reshape global energy markets Artificial intelligence’s share of global electricity consumption is set to at least double by 2030, to around 3% of the total, and could drive almost half of electricity consumption growth in the US... 21st July 2025 · 15 mins read
Event Drop-In: US Outlook – Weighing the AI boom, labour constraints and the Fed’s next chapter 7th October 2025, 3:00PM BST Our latest US Economic Outlook makes the case for stronger growth than the consensus expects as an AI-driven investment boom boosts productivity and helps offsets the drag from tighte
