UK Housing Market Update UK RICS Residential Market Survey (Mar. 2026) After a steady start to the year for the housing market, March’s RICS housing market survey suggests that the rise in mortgage rates since the start of the Iran war is continuing to take an... 9th April 2026 · 3 mins read
UK Housing Market Chart Pack UK Housing Market Scenarios Chart Pack (Apr. 2026) This UK Housing Market Scenarios Chart Pack builds on the analysis and scenario forecasts published in the Global Property Outlook (see here) to provide more detail on how the Iran War could influence... 8th April 2026 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Hungary: election to decide fiscal deficit path We expect Hungary’s budget deficit to widen towards 5.5% of GDP this year on account of pre-election stimulus, continued soft GDP growth and higher debt interest costs. Regardless of the election... 8th April 2026 · 5 mins read
UK Commercial Property Rapid Response S&P Global/CIPS UK Construction PMI (Mar. 26) The headline CIPS construction PMI saw a surprising tick higher in March. But with the input price index climbing precipitously and new orders and future business expectations dropping back, it’s... 8th April 2026 · 2 mins read
UK Housing Market Rapid Response UK Halifax House Prices (Mar. 2026) The fall in the Halifax measure of house prices in March chimes with the renewed drop in buyer sentiment in February’s RICS housing market survey. As the Halifax index is based on mortgage approvals... 8th April 2026 · 3 mins read
Event Drop-In: China’s shock to the eurozone – economic fallout and policy choices 23rd April 2026, 3:00PM BST China’s economic rise has long benefited European households and firms.
Europe Commercial Property Update Cash buffers reduce risks from German open-ended real estate funds Despite recent redemption suspensions, net outflows from open-ended real estate funds in Germany have been small as a share of net asset value while cash buffers are higher than some other large... 7th April 2026 · 3 mins read
Emerging Europe Economics Weekly Policymakers look to cushion the energy price shock The policy support measures announced by governments in Central and Eastern Europe to cushion households from higher energy prices should help to limit the rise in inflation over the coming months... 2nd April 2026 · 8 mins read
UK Economics Weekly Limited pricing power conducive of short-lived inflation hump The combination of limited corporate pricing power, due to the weak economic backdrop, and the softening labour market supports our view that the inevitable jump in CPI inflation in the coming months... 2nd April 2026 · 6 mins read
Europe Economics Weekly Italy’s borrowing costs in the spotlight again The rise in energy prices and the slight loss of popularity of Giorgia Meloni’s government have caused Italy’s bond yields to rise more than France's since the start of the Iran conflict. We now think... 2nd April 2026 · 8 mins read
Bonds Focus The retreat from sovereign bond duration Supply/demand dynamics in long-dated sovereign debt markets are deteriorating, with demand from traditional sources waning and supply remaining strong. And now fiscal support in response to the Iran... 2nd April 2026 · 22 mins read
Global Economics Chart Pack Global Economics Chart pack - Iran Conflict Edition (April 2026) The impact of the surge in energy prices on the global economy will depend on the extent of any disruption to energy flows, which remains highly uncertain. Europe and Asia are more exposed than the US... 2nd April 2026 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Quantifying the indirect effects of energy on inflation Energy inflation jumped in March and in our baseline scenario it increases further, adding another half a percentage point to headline inflation this year. Firms passing on higher energy costs add a... 1st April 2026 · 3 mins read
Global Property Outlook Iran war’s property impact will be small and short-lived Given the fast-moving nature of events in Iran and the Strait of Hormuz, this global publication brings together our updated residential and commercial property market analysis and forecasts. It... 1st April 2026 · 23 mins read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Hungary’s frozen funds hang on a Tisza supermajority A victory for the opposition Tisza party in Hungary’s upcoming election on 12th April could open the door to the institutional reforms required to unlock frozen EU funds. But many of PM Orbán’s... 1st April 2026 · 5 mins read
Europe Chart Pack Europe Chart Pack (Apr. 2026) This Europe Chart Pack builds on the analysis and scenario forecasts published in the Global Economic Outlook (see here) to provide more detail on how the Iran War could influence inflation, GDP... 31st March 2026 · 1 min read
