Europe Economics Weekly Will the euro ever fall? The further rise in the euro against the US dollar, in the face of speculation that a euro-zone country might default on its debts in the foreseeable future, might seem to indicate that the single... 25th April 2011 · 1 min read
Non-Euro Europe Commercial Property Outlook Non-euro-zone markets will outperform in 2011 and 2012 Within non-euro-zone Europe, commercial property markets in Emerging Europe look set to deliver the highest total returns in both the short and the medium term. We expect Russia and Turkey to record... 21st April 2011 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response German Ifo Survey (Apr.) April’s Ifo survey added to the recent tentative evidence that the super-strong German economic recovery is starting to come off the boil a little bit. 21st April 2011 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Outlook Too soon to look for a recovery in peripheral markets Since our previous Analyst we have become a little more optimistic about the potential for returns in some of the core euro-zone commercial property markets such as Germany, France and Belgium, as... 20th April 2011 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Euro-zone Flash PMIs (Apr.) The flash euro-zone Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) for April confirmed that economic activity in the region as a whole is still defying the continued problems in the periphery. 19th April 2011 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Weekly Debt restructuring fears grow Hopes that a Portuguese bail-out would mark a major turning point in the euro-zone’s sovereign debt crisis took a blow last week as comments from euro-zone officials led to renewed concerns about... 18th April 2011 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Euro-zone industrial rents unlikely to rise until 2012 or later The combination of a high proportion of underutilised stock and early signs that the euro-zone industrial recovery is now starting to lose momentum, suggests that most euro-zone industrial markets are... 15th April 2011 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Euro-zone CPI (Final, Mar.) & Trade (Feb.) March’s rise in headline euro-zone CPI inflation, which was down to a pick-up in core inflation, is not as alarming as it may seem. But it will do nothing to ease the ECB’s concerns about building... 15th April 2011 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Have Spanish office rents reached a floor? Preliminary agency data shows that office rental values in Madrid and Barcelona fell further in the first three months of the year. It is tempting to conclude that having dropped by almost a third... 14th April 2011 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Euro-zone Ind Prod. (Feb 11) February’s euro-zone industrial production figures provide tentative signs that the recovery in the sector is starting to lose momentum. 13th April 2011 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Focus Can Spain stay out of the crisis? Worries that the euro-zone debt crisis will enter a more dangerous phase by spreading from the smaller peripheral economies to Spain have recently diminished. But we think that it would be premature... 12th April 2011 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response German ZEW (Apr.) April’s fall in the headline German ZEW index does little to alter our view that the German economy will continue to grow at a pretty robust pace over the coming months. 12th April 2011 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Weekly ECB takes the lead, for now Last week’s decision by the ECB to raise interest rates before other major central banks mainly reflected its different attitude and approach to inflation-targeting. But we suspect that there were... 11th April 2011 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update What does the ECB rate rise mean for European property? The ECB’s decision to raise interest rates was not a surprise, nor does it materially change the stillloose stance of monetary policy. That said, if nothing else, today’s move will focus investor... 7th April 2011 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update ECB keeping its options open Having raised interest rates from 1.0% to 1.25% as expected, the ECB kept its options open over the likely size and timing of future interest rate increases. For now, we still think that the Bank will... 7th April 2011 · 1 min read
