Europe Data Response Iceland GDP (Q4) Q4’s Icelandic GDP data confirmed that the economy is slowly recovering from its financial crisis. But while Iceland looks set to continue to outperform the peripheral euro-zone economies this year... 8th March 2013 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Data Response Iceland GDP (Q4 12) Q4’s Icelandic GDP data confirmed that the economy is slowly recovering from its financial crisis. But while Iceland looks set to continue to outperform the peripheral euro-zone economies this year... 8th March 2013 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update ECB hints at limited support at best While some members of the European Central Bank’s Governing Council voted for an interest rate cut today, the majority still seems unconvinced that this would do any good. What’s more, the Bank... 7th March 2013 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Focus Why are office rents more volatile in Madrid than Barcelona? In each of the previous two cycles, office rents rose much further in Madrid than Barcelona. But there is nothing to suggest that structural features of the Madrid market lie behind the more volatile... 7th March 2013 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Will Ireland and Portugal need OMTs? Ireland and Portugal’s relative success in achieving fiscal targets and regaining access to financial markets has raised hopes about the sustainability of their public finances, particularly after... 7th March 2013 · 1 min read
Europe Chart Pack Falling inflation adds to pressure on the ECB February’s drop in euro-zone CPI inflation to 1.8% brought it back below the ECB’s 2% “ceiling” for the first time since November 2010. While much of the recent drop reflects slowing energy inflation... 6th March 2013 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Euro-zone GDP (Q4 12) The breakdown of euro-zone GDP in the fourth quarter revealed an increasingly broad-based decline. Timelier indicators still point to another contraction in GDP in Q1 despite their recent improvement. 6th March 2013 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update What next for Italy? More than a week after the general election, the political situation in Italy remains as uncertain as ever. With potentially months of political and economic deadlock ahead, we continue to expect... 5th March 2013 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Euro-zone Retail Sales (Jan.) & Final PMI Survey (Feb.) January’s rise in euro-zone retail sales and the fall in the composite PMI in February add to evidence that while the recession in the region is slowing, it is not over. 5th March 2013 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Weak Dutch economy adds to troubles in the core Recent data from the Netherlands have added to evidence from France that the euro-zone’s economic problems go well beyond the region’s periphery. We expect the Dutch Government’s opposition to... 5th March 2013 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Falls in Swedish property values still more likely than not Last week’s GDP data from Sweden were not as bad for commercial property as they might at first seem. Indeed, the detail suggests that occupier demand for each of the three main sectors may have risen... 4th March 2013 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Focus French slump to deepen fiscal fears The French economy is set to fall further behind others in the euro-zone as labour market rigidity holds back competitiveness and household spending is hit by fiscal austerity. This might cause France... 4th March 2013 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Weekly Is the crisis back? Having swum against the tide of increased optimism towards the euro-zone for some months, we are wary of the temptation to leap on last week’s events in Italy as a vindication of our position. After... 4th March 2013 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Euro-zone Flash CPI (Feb.) & Unemployment (Jan.) February’s fall in euro-zone CPI inflation and the further rise in unemployment in January raised the chances of further policy action by the ECB. 1st March 2013 · 1 min read
Non-Euro Europe Commercial Property Chart Pack Emerging European property continues to lose its shine The relatively strong performance of Emerging European property markets in 2011 was not repeated in 2012. The softening economic backdrop did little to support rental growth, while yields appear to... 1st March 2013 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Swedish GDP (Q4 12) Q4’s Swedish GDP numbers confirmed that the robust recovery has fizzled out. But Sweden should still perform far better than the euro-zone and most of its neighbours in 2013. 1st March 2013 · 1 min read