Europe Economics Update Euro-zone employment recovery masks national divergence Employment in the euro-zone is expanding at a healthy pace and survey data point to a positive outlook. But this hides a very mixed story amongst different countries, and the overall picture is... 17th December 2015 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Will the election threaten Spain’s recovery? The likely advent of a coalition government after this Sunday’s Spanish general election looks unlikely to bring the country’s robust economic recovery to a halt. But a period of political instability... 17th December 2015 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update German industrial occupier demand set to moderate in 2016 After a record-breaking year in 2015, the latest data suggest that German industrial occupier demand will moderate next year. But, given supply constraints and occupier bases that are more aligned to... 17th December 2015 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response German Ifo Survey (Dec.) December’s small fall in the headline German Ifo index left it still at a high level. But the sharper decline in the current conditions component supported evidence from recent hard data that growth... 17th December 2015 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Economics Update Norges Bank signals rate cuts next year The Norges Bank left monetary policy unchanged today, but with growth slowing and inflation set to fall, interest rate cuts look highly likely next year, starting at the next policy meeting in March. 17th December 2015 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Will the Fed’s lift-off cause a euro-zone nose-dive? There are reasons to think that the advent of tighter monetary policy in the US will not have a materially negative impact on the currency union. But there is no room for euro-zone policymakers to be... 16th December 2015 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Euro-zone Trade (Oct.) & Final CPI (Nov.) October’s euro-zone goods trade data revealed a further slowdown in export growth, adding to the evidence that the boost from the weaker euro is fading. We suspect that the trade surplus will narrow... 16th December 2015 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Euro-zone Flash PMIs (Dec.) December’s small fall in the euro-zone Composite PMI left it still pointing to steady but modest growth in the region. But the Paris attacks have taken a toll on France, leaving the economy close to... 16th December 2015 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Spanish property values set to grow strongly in 2016 The loose monetary policy environment will help to underpin investor sentiment toward Spain in 2016, keeping property yields low despite an increasingly uncertain political backdrop. And with ample... 15th December 2015 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response German ZEW (Dec.) December’s solid rise in German ZEW investor expectations suggests that the economy is faring pretty well, but it still points to a slight slowdown in growth. 15th December 2015 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Sweden’s Riksbank holds but will have to do more in 2016 The ECB’s timidity and strong domestic demand has allowed Sweden’s Riksbank to leave monetary policy unchanged today. But with headline inflation in Sweden still close to zero and policy likely to be... 15th December 2015 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Economics Update Sweden’s Riksbank holds but will have to do more in 2016 The ECB’s timidity and strong domestic demand has allowed Sweden’s Riksbank to leave monetary policy unchanged today. But with headline inflation in Sweden still close to zero and policy likely to be... 15th December 2015 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Euro-zone Industrial Production (Oct.) October’s rise in euro-zone industrial production provides an early indication that the sector will have had a solid Q4, adding to evidence that the region’s recovery may have regained some pace at... 14th December 2015 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Weekly Weak German exports dent hopes for 2016 Contrary to hopes that a weaker euro and accommodative monetary policy would be particularly beneficial to Germany’s supposedly super-competitive export sector, the latest data have brought signs that... 11th December 2015 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Dublin industrial total returns set to overtake office and retail The outlook for Dublin industrial rental growth is supported by the fact that supply conditions are tighter than the 15% vacancy rate alone might suggest. And with ample scope for yield compression as... 10th December 2015 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Ireland GDP (Q3) Ireland’s impressive recovery continued in Q3. And with the conditions in place for continued rapid growth, it is set to remain the euro-zone’s fastest-growing economy. 10th December 2015 · 1 min read
