UK Commercial Property RICS Commercial Property Market Survey (Q2) Surveyors indicated that both occupier demand and investment enquiries improved in Q2 on the back of stronger industrial activity. Looking ahead, expectations for office and retail values are less... 29th July 2021 · 2 mins read
UK Economics Money & Credit (Jun.) The money and credit data showed that consumers were willing to take on more debt in June. However, with consumers accumulating excess savings at a faster pace, there were signs that the resurgence in... 29th July 2021 · 3 mins read
Emerging Europe Data Response Economic Sentiment Indicators (July) The EC’s Economic Sentiment Indicators showed a surprising fall in regional sentiment in July, but we suspect that this was a blip rather than the start of a trend. We still expect growth to be strong... 29th July 2021 · 2 mins read
Europe Data Response EC Survey (July) Economic sentiment in the euro-zone continued to improve in July as restrictions were lifted further. The EC Survey also showed that persistent input shortages are causing price pressures to grow... 29th July 2021 · 2 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Investment past the worst but still faces uphill struggle The Q2 data showed that pan-European (excl. UK) transactions improved after their Q1 lows. But international travel restrictions, structural shifts in the office and retail sectors and tougher credit... 29th July 2021 · 3 mins read
UK Housing Market Data Response Mortgage Lending (Jun.) A surge in borrowing ahead of the tapering of the stamp duty holiday in July saw new mortgage lending set a fresh record high. Meanwhile, robust mortgage approvals pointed to activity remaining strong... 29th July 2021 · 2 mins read
Nordic & Swiss Economics Sweden GDP Indicator (Q2) & ETI (Jul.) The 0.9% q/q increase in Swedish GDP in Q2 was a touch weaker than our forecast (+1.0%) but stronger than the consensus (+0.7%). While the best of the rebound in the industrial sector may be behind us... 29th July 2021 · 2 mins read
Emerging Europe Data Response Russia Activity Data (Jun.) Russian activity data for June showed that the economy expanded at a solid pace in Q2, with overall GDP probably returning to just shy of its pre-pandemic level. While the re-opening boost will fade... 28th July 2021 · 2 mins read
UK Housing Market Data Response Nationwide House Prices (Jul.) The drop back in the Nationwide house price inflation in July suggests that the tapering of the stamp duty holiday has taken a little heat out of the market. But as the tax break was just one of many... 28th July 2021 · 2 mins read
Europe Commercial Property A primer on European residential property Less favourable demand fundamentals and less scope for yield compression mean that European residential returns are likely to be lower in the coming years than over the previous decade. An analysis of... 27th July 2021 · 17 mins read
Emerging Europe Economics Update MNB steps up front-loaded tightening cycle The larger-than-expected 30bp interest rate hike by Hungary’s central bank (MNB) today was accompanied by hawkish comments that send a strong message about its intention to bring inflation back to its... 27th July 2021 · 3 mins read
Europe Economics Inflation won’t surge in the euro-zone like in the US We think that euro-zone headline inflation will rise further than most expect in the second half of this year. But rather than reaching the levels of around 5% seen in the US, it is likely to top out... 27th July 2021 · 12 mins read
Europe Economics German Ifo Survey (July) The small decline in the Ifo Business Climate Index in July suggests that the rebound in Germany may be losing some momentum. But Germany will still post very rapid GDP growth in both Q2 and Q3 and... 26th July 2021 · 2 mins read
Europe Economics Negative rates and QE forever? The change in the ECB’s policy guidance, announced yesterday, strengthens our view that the Bank will leave its deposit rate unchanged at -0.5% until beyond 2025 and will continue with large-scale... 23rd July 2021 · 8 mins read
UK Commercial Property Chart Pack Strong momentum not expected to last The acceleration in all-property capital growth in June reflected a sharp fall in yields and strong rental growth. But, even as a fast economic rebound boosts occupier demand in the coming months, we... 23rd July 2021 · 7 mins read
Nordic & Swiss Economics Weekly Summer Olympics not N&S’s comparative advantage Switzerland and the Nordic countries don’t tend to excel in the summer Olympics but they dominate the winter games when their comparative advantage of lots of snow and mountains becomes apparent. Next... 23rd July 2021 · 5 mins read
