UK Housing Market Rapid Response UK Nationwide House Prices (Apr. 2025) April’s bigger-than-expected 0.6% m/m fall in Nationwide house prices (consensus forecast 0.0% m/m, Capital Economics -0.1% m/m) isn’t too surprising as most of it probably reflects home purchases... 30th April 2025 · 3 mins read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Five questions on Romania’s rescheduled election This Update answers five key questions on Romania’s rescheduled presidential election, the first round of which takes place on Sunday 4th May. A victory for far-right frontrunner George Simion would... 29th April 2025 · 5 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Swedish industrial real estate prospects remain poor Stockholm was one of the worst performing industrial markets in western Europe last year. And despite our relatively upbeat outlook for the Swedish economy, we think the coming years will herald more... 29th April 2025 · 3 mins read
Global Economics Update Trump, the global economy and the next 100 days President Trump’s first 100 days in office have brought substantial shifts in US policy. The next 100 will start to reveal whether his presidency is causing a realignment of the global economy. There... 29th April 2025 · 7 mins read
Emerging Europe Rapid Response Hungary Interest Rate Announcement (Apr.) 29th April 2025 · 1 min read
UK Commercial Property Update Could UK commercial property benefit from US tariffs? The UK economy is relatively well insulated from the rise in US tariffs, and property even more so. Indeed, while the overall direct impact is likely to be small, some commercial sectors may even see... 29th April 2025 · 4 mins read
Europe Rapid Response EC Survey (April 2025) The ESI for April point to a small hit to the euro-zone from US tariffs in April and suggest that growth remained quite weak. With the drag from tariffs set to intensify, we expect euro-zone GDP to... 29th April 2025 · 2 mins read
Emerging Europe Rapid Response CEE Economic Sentiment Indicators (Apr.) The European Commission's Economic Sentiment Indicators for Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) provide a tentative sign that the impact of US tariffs on the region has been fairly contained so far. The... 29th April 2025 · 1 min read
Europe Rapid Response Spain & Sweden GDP (Q1) Spain’s rapid economic growth (+0.6% q/q in Q1) is likely to continue for some time yet, despite trade uncertainty. While consumption and government spending were weaker than expected in Q1, we think... 29th April 2025 · 2 mins read
Emerging Markets Economics Chart Pack Emerging Markets Chart Pack (Apr. 2025) US import tariffs have largely focused on China. For some EMs (such as India and South East Asia), this creates near-term opportunities to take US market share from China. But there will be offsetting... 28th April 2025 · 1 min read
Global Economics Update Advanced economy financial conditions on the mend The recent reduction in equity market volatility has reversed most of the tightening in our market-based narrow Financial Conditions Indices for advanced economies. Our broad FCIs, which also... 28th April 2025 · 4 mins read
Emerging Europe Economics Weekly Emerging Europe Weekly: Russia-Ukraine peace talks, CEE fiscal deficits The US has been pushing harder over the past week to achieve a peace deal that Russia is willing to accept. But the more concessions that are offered to Putin, the less willing Ukraine will be to... 25th April 2025 · 8 mins read
Europe Economics Weekly Europe Weekly: Tariffs may cause EZ GDP to flatline in Q2 and Q3 Business surveys for April suggest that US tariffs have not done much damage in the euro-zone so far. But we think there will be a noticeable impact in the coming months and have reduced our forecast... 25th April 2025 · 9 mins read
UK Economics Weekly UK Weekly: Are the markets expecting too many rate cuts? While the deteriorating outlook for activity increases the chances of the Bank of England continuing to cut interest rates at its recent pace of one 25 basis point cut every quarter, which translates... 25th April 2025 · 3 mins read
Emerging Europe Rapid Response Russia Interest Rate Announcement (Apr.) The Central Bank of Russia (CBR) left its policy rate on hold at 21.00% again today and dropped the language in its statement that further interest rate hikes are possible. With inflation nearing a... 25th April 2025 · 2 mins read
UK Commercial Property Update RICS survey points to a subdued UK commercial property recovery The Q1 RICS survey showed little change from the previous quarter, with surveyors pointing to subdued levels of occupier demand and elevated availability. That points to a slowdown in rental growth... 25th April 2025 · 3 mins read
