Asia Economics Weekly Asian financial crisis twenty years on There are more differences than similarities between the situation now and the position many Asian countries found themselves in on the eve of the Asian financial crisis 20 years ago. But there is no... 30th June 2017 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Asian equities continue to rally Asian equity markets have continued to rally, with stock markets in Taiwan, Korea, India and Indonesia all recently hitting new record highs. 29th June 2017 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update What to make of Korea’s supplementary budget? South Korea’s new government today announced plans for a supplementary budget worth 11.2trn won (0.7% of GDP). But with parliament approval by no means guaranteed, we are not raising our growth... 5th June 2017 · 1 min read
Asia Data Response Manufacturing PMIs (May) Most of Emerging Asia’s manufacturing PMIs slipped in May, but we doubt this marks the start of a significant downturn in Asian manufacturing. 1st June 2017 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Asian equities continue strong run Asian equity markets have outperformed other EM markets over the past month, with bourses in Korea, India, Pakistan and Indonesia all reaching record highs in May. We are revising our equity forecasts... 31st May 2017 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Korea to keep rates unchanged for some time yet The Bank of Korea (BoK) left interest rates on hold today and the governor’s accompanying press conference makes clear the central bank is in little hurry to adjust rates anytime soon. We continue to... 25th May 2017 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Focus Assessing the impact of a war in Korea The most important impact of a full-scale conflict on the Korean peninsula would be a massive loss of life. But there would also be significant economic consequences. In this Focus we discuss the... 17th May 2017 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update What does Moon’s victory mean for South Korea? The election of Moon Jae-in as South Korea’s next president is unlikely to have a major impact on the country’s economic outlook. Moon’s Democratic Party not only lacks a majority in parliament, but... 9th May 2017 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Focus Will Korea’s election put the economy on a new path? In addition to the growing geopolitical crisis on the Korean Peninsula, South Korea’s next president, who will be elected on 9 th May, will face a mounting number of economic challenges, including... 4th May 2017 · 1 min read
Asia Data Response Manufacturing PMIs (Apr.) The April PMIs for Emerging Asia suggest that the region’s manufacturing recovery remained intact. Focusing on the two economies where the PMIs most closely track the hard data, Taiwan’s manufacturing... 2nd May 2017 · 1 min read
Asia Data Response Korea GDP (Q1 Preliminary) Korea’s economy began 2017 on a strong note, and while we expect growth to hold up reasonably well in the near term, we doubt the Q1 outturn marks the start of a sustained recovery. 27th April 2017 · 1 min read
Asia Chart Pack KORUS renegotiation on the cards Confirmation that the US is seeking to renegotiate but not scrap the Korea-US free trade agreement (KORUS) is the latest sign that President Trump’s bark, at least when it comes to trade, is turning... 19th April 2017 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Korea holds rates, prolonged pause likely The Bank of Korea (BoK) kept its policy rate unchanged at 1.25% today, and with the economy starting to show signs of improvement and underlying price pressures benign, we think the BoK will maintain... 13th April 2017 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update How big are the economic risks from the crisis in North Korea? There remains huge uncertainty as to how the growing crisis in North Korea will play out. Although war is likely to remain a last resort, the risk of some kind of military action is clearly growing... 12th April 2017 · 1 min read
Asia Economic Outlook Stronger exports to boost growth in 2017 Buoyant global demand should help to support growth across most of Emerging Asia over the coming quarters, but mounting domestic headwinds mean a strong rebound is not on the cards. Although the... 11th April 2017 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Weekly Asian consumers facing growing headwinds Consumer spending has grown at a steady if unspectacular pace across Emerging Asia over the past few years, comfortably outperforming other EM regions. Spending in the region should continue to grow... 7th April 2017 · 1 min read
