Asia Chart Pack Will tougher sanctions on North Korea work? The United Nations has agreed a new set of sanctions on North Korea, which while falling short of what was originally demanded by the US, constitute the strongest sanctions ever imposed on the country... 12th September 2017 · 1 min read
Asia Chart Pack Will other central banks follow Bank Indonesia? Despite the current subdued rates of inflation across most of Emerging Asia, we don’t expect many of the region’s central banks to copy Bank Indonesia, which yesterday surprised markets by cutting... 23rd August 2017 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Indonesia easing cycle to be gradual Given the improving outlook for inflation in Indonesia, we think today’s 25 basis point cut in the main policy rate is unlikely to be the last in the current cycle. We expect one further rate cut this... 22nd August 2017 · 1 min read
Asia Data Response Indonesia GDP (Q2) Indonesia’s run of remarkably steady GDP growth continued in Q2, with the economy growing by 5.0% y/y, unchanged from the 5.0% expansion recorded in Q1. Looking ahead, with commodity prices likely to... 7th August 2017 · 1 min read
Asia Data Response Manufacturing PMIs (Jul.) Emerging Asia’s PMIs for July suggest the region’s manufacturing sectors started Q3 on a subdued note. Focussing on the two economies where the PMIs most closely track the hard data, Taiwan’s... 1st August 2017 · 1 min read
Commodities Watch Second half of the year bodes well for coffee Last month, the spread between arabica and robusta coffee prices fell to its lowest level in over ten years. Elsewhere, France recently announced that it will curb the use of palm oil in biofuels... 25th July 2017 · 1 min read
Asia Economic Outlook How long will the recovery last? A pick-up in exports will lift growth in Emerging Asia to a five-year high in 2017, but mounting domestic headwinds means that this is unlikely to be sustained. We expect growth to slow in 201819... 6th July 2017 · 1 min read
Asia Data Response Manufacturing PMIs (Jun.) The June PMIs for Emerging Asia suggest that the region’s manufacturing sectors remained in decent health. The pick up in the PMI readings in Taiwan and Korea – the two economies where the PMIs most... 3rd July 2017 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Weekly Asian financial crisis twenty years on There are more differences than similarities between the situation now and the position many Asian countries found themselves in on the eve of the Asian financial crisis 20 years ago. But there is no... 30th June 2017 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Asian equities continue to rally Asian equity markets have continued to rally, with stock markets in Taiwan, Korea, India and Indonesia all recently hitting new record highs. 29th June 2017 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Inflation and currency worries to keep Indonesian rates on hold Despite the poor growth outlook, Bank Indonesia left its policy rate on hold today at 4.75%. With inflation set to remain elevated over the coming months, the central bank is likely to be in little... 15th June 2017 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Asian equities continue strong run Asian equity markets have outperformed other EM markets over the past month, with bourses in Korea, India, Pakistan and Indonesia all reaching record highs in May. We are revising our equity forecasts... 31st May 2017 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Bank Indonesia to leave rates unchanged this year With inflationary pressures rising, Bank Indonesia’s (BI) decision to leave interest rates on hold today came as no surprise. The central bank’s accompanying statement struck a fairly cautious tone... 18th May 2017 · 1 min read
Asia Data Response Indonesia GDP (Q1) Indonesia recorded another quarter of disappointing growth in the first quarter of this year, with GDP expanding by 5.0% y/y. Looking ahead, with commodity prices likely to stay relatively depressed... 5th May 2017 · 1 min read
Asia Data Response Manufacturing PMIs (Apr.) The April PMIs for Emerging Asia suggest that the region’s manufacturing recovery remained intact. Focusing on the two economies where the PMIs most closely track the hard data, Taiwan’s manufacturing... 2nd May 2017 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Bank Indonesia unlikely to cut rates despite poor growth outlook Despite the relatively poor growth outlook, Bank Indonesia (BI) left its key policy rate on hold at 4.75% today. With inflation set to rise over the coming months and the rupiah vulnerable to sudden... 20th April 2017 · 1 min read
