UK Housing Market Update Large forecast house price falls not wildly out of line with the past While the 35% fall in nominal house prices that we expect over the next couple of years will be unprecedented, in real terms our forecast looks to be not wildly out of line with past experience. 30th July 2008 · 1 min read
UK Economics Update Re-emergence of pension fund deficits threatens investment Recent financial market developments have pushed corporate pension funds back into deficit, further constraining the resources available for firms to invest. 30th July 2008 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Japan’s manufacturing recession to be short and shallow 30th July 2008 · 1 min read
Japan Economics Update Japan’s manufacturing recession to be short and shallow The 2.0% m/m decline in Japanese industrial production in June confirms that output has now fallen for two successive quarters. This was at least widely expected: the consensus was for a fall of 1.7%... 30th July 2008 · 1 min read
UK Economics Update Companies running out of cash The further sharp contraction in the amount of cash held on deposit by companies in June is yet another sign that the economic downturn is taking its toll on the corporate sector, suggesting that it... 29th July 2008 · 1 min read
UK Housing Market Update Crosby Review : No silver bullet to shorten the housing correction The key message from Sir James Crosby’s interim report on the state of UK mortgage finance is that the current squeeze on mortgage credit will be protracted. While he does not rule out the possibility... 29th July 2008 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Ambitious inflation targets suggest more tightening to come By taking tougher than expected action, today’s rate hikes provide welcome reassurance that the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is serious about tackling rising prices and will help keep inflation... 29th July 2008 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Focus Have record oil prices hit Russian manufacturing? Economic theory suggests that a booming energy sector can often cause a slump in manufacturing output. In Russia’s case, the evidence from recent years is mixed. But even if oil prices do continue to... 29th July 2008 · 1 min read
