Africa Economics Weekly China’s exports, South Africa’s latest GNU policy fight Chinese trade data out this week showed that the surge in exports to Africa continued, which most countries in the region seem to be welcoming. And taken together with efforts to reduce the costs of... 24th October 2025 · 5 mins read
Africa Economics Weekly Odinga’s passing, oil prices drop, Nigeria inflation The passing this week of Raila Odinga, a prominent politician in Kenya, is likely to result in his party being less committed to the governing alliance with President Ruto’s United Democratic Alliance... 17th October 2025 · 7 mins read
Event Drop-In: Nigeria’s economic outlook – Reform momentum and policy risks 23rd October 2025, 3:00PM BST Nigeria’s economy appears to be responding to President Bola Tinubu’s reforms, with growth accelerating to a four-year high.
Africa Rapid Response Nigeria Consumer Prices (Sep' 25) The sharp drop in Nigeria’s headline inflation rate to 18.0% y/y last month is likely to prompt the Central Bank of Nigeria to continue cutting interest rates, and by more than most expect, over the... 15th October 2025 · 1 min read
Africa Economics Weekly Nigeria reforms, Ghana and Kenya inflation President Tinubu used his Independence Day address this week to talk up recent improvements in GDP growth and the balance of payments position. He also celebrated the jump in tax revenue this year... 3rd October 2025 · 5 mins read
Emerging Markets Economics Update Fiscal realities now biting in some major oil producers The 2026 budgets announced in Russia and Saudi Arabia in the past week point to significant fiscal tightening following declines in oil revenues and budget blowouts this year. Pressures for fiscal... 2nd October 2025 · 4 mins read
Africa Chart Pack Africa Chart Pack (Sep. 25) Growth across Sub-Saharan Africa is set to pick up over the next couple of years helped by a more stable macro environment, lower inflation and looser monetary policy, with many central banks set to... 30th September 2025 · 0 mins read
Africa Economics Weekly AGOA expiry looms, Taiwan chips curbs, Nigeria GDP The African Growth and Opportunities Act (AGOA) is set to expire on Tuesday and, while this would deal only a modest blow at a macro level, it would mark yet another way in which the US is disengaging... 26th September 2025 · 5 mins read
Africa Economic Outlook Looser monetary policy, stronger growth Growth across Sub-Saharan Africa is set to pick up over the next couple of years helped by a more stable macro environment, lower inflation and looser monetary policy, with many central banks set to... 26th September 2025 · 19 mins read
Africa Economics Weekly South Africa pauses easing cycle, Angola starts its The South African Reserve Bank’s decision to leave the repo rate unchanged looks like a pause rather than a halt in the monetary easing cycle. We expect inflation expectations to trend lower from here... 19th September 2025 · 6 mins read
Emerging Markets Economics Chart Pack Emerging Markets Chart Pack (Sep. 2025) EM GDP growth generally held up well in H1 but we think it will soften over the second half of the year as US tariffs, tighter fiscal policy and slowing wage growth bite. The inflation outlook is... 17th September 2025 · 1 min read
Africa Economics Weekly SA current account, Ghana GDP, Nigeria fiscal policy Data out this week showed that South Africa’s current account deficit has widened, but the shortfall is still small and suggests the rand will continue to hold up and that the Reserve Bank can cut... 12th September 2025 · 6 mins read
Africa Economics Focus Can Nigeria put its public finances on a stable footing? Nigeria policy shift has led to success in monetary policy reform and a stronger balance of payments position. But reforms have so far fallen short is reining in the large budget deficit. While non... 9th September 2025 · 15 mins read
Africa Chart Pack Africa Chart Pack (Aug. 2025) We think economies across Sub-Saharan Africa will weather US tariffs relatively well. Indeed, improved terms of trade (for most) and lower inflation and interest rates should support a modest pick-up... 27th August 2025 · 0 mins read
Africa Economics Update SSA inflation trending down and rates will follow Many central banks across Sub-Saharan Africa have cut interest rates over the past year or so and Nigeria will soon join the rate-cutting club. With inflation low or falling in most countries, we... 18th August 2025 · 4 mins read
