Energy Update How will the crisis in Venezuela affect oil production? Continued weakness in Venezuela’s oil output this year should help the market to rebalance. In fact, the potential for further reductions in production represents an upside risk to prices. 11th May 2017 · 1 min read
Middle East & North Africa Economics Update Gulf likely to push back against calls for deeper oil output cuts This month’s dip in oil prices means that it is almost certain OPEC will agree to an extension to its oil output cuts into the second half of this year. But we think Saudi Arabia and the other Gulf... 11th May 2017 · 1 min read
OPEC Watch OPEC output falls below target OPEC’s production was relatively flat in April, but the group significantly increased its forecast of non-OPEC output this year again. Whilst this should not prevent the group from rolling over its... 11th May 2017 · 1 min read
Energy Data Response US Weekly Petroleum Status Report Crude oil stocks declined by the largest amount so far this year, in spite of increasing US oil production. Gasoline and distillate inventories also fell, as demand for petroleum products continued to... 10th May 2017 · 1 min read
Energy Update US gasoline consumption to accelerate after weak start We expect growth in US gasoline demand to pick up over the rest of the year as employment and wages rise. What’s more, a trend towards purchases of used cars and light trucks should offset reductions... 9th May 2017 · 1 min read
Middle East & North Africa Economics Update Gulf economies better placed to deal with low oil prices The recent fall in oil prices has reignited fears over the outlook for the Gulf, but as we explain in this Watch these countries are in a better position now to weather a period of low oil prices than... 8th May 2017 · 1 min read
Energy Chart Pack Geopolitics and OPEC dominate oil prices Geopolitical tensions were the main driver of oil prices in the first half of the month as the US fired missiles at Syria and ramped up rhetoric around North Korea. However, the market quickly... 5th May 2017 · 1 min read
Commodities Update Four reasons why the weakness in oil prices won’t last long The recent weakness in oil prices is largely due to concerns over persistently high US stocks and growing production there. However, the headline US crude stocks number is a little misleading and US... 5th May 2017 · 1 min read
Energy Data Response US Weekly Petroleum Status Report A sharp fall in the amount of oil in the US Strategic Petroleum Reserves (SPR) prevented commercial stocks from falling by as much as expected. 3rd May 2017 · 1 min read
Energy Data Response US Weekly Petroleum Status Report Crude oil stocks slumped for the third consecutive week as demand from refineries rose to its highest level on record. Meanwhile, both gasoline and distillate inventories increased sharply. 26th April 2017 · 1 min read
Energy Update Will the shake-up of the Brent oil benchmark affect prices? We expect the change in the method for assessing the Brent global benchmark to have a negligible effect on the price of Brent going forward. Rather, we anticipate fundamental factors such as stronger... 24th April 2017 · 1 min read
Middle East & North Africa Chart Pack Saudi Arabia hints at OPEC deal extension Recent comments from Saudi Arabia’s Oil Minister, Khalid al-Falih, suggest that OPEC is edging towards an agreement to extend its oil production cuts when it meets in Vienna next month. Having ruled... 21st April 2017 · 1 min read
India Economics Update Rupee surges to 20-month high The rally in the Indian rupee since the start of 2017 has continued in recent weeks, driving the currency to its highest rate against the US dollar in almost two years. While we doubt that the rally... 21st April 2017 · 1 min read
Energy Update How concerned should the oil market be about rising tensions? The increase in political tensions in the Middle East and North Korea had given oil prices a bit of a boost, but this already seems to have faded. Indeed, barring a dramatic escalation of the... 20th April 2017 · 1 min read
Energy Data Response US Weekly Petroleum Status Report The continued rebound in refinery activity led to a modest fall in US crude oil stocks and a rise in gasoline stocks last week. 19th April 2017 · 1 min read
Energy Data Response US Weekly Petroleum Status Report Crude oil stocks fell last week for only the second time this year as net imports declined and inputs to refineries increased. Meanwhile, inventories of petroleum products continued to fall. 12th April 2017 · 1 min read
