Asia Economics Update China’s hot money worries set to reappear China’s foreign exchange purchases, and hot inflows into its economy, have steadied. But they are likely to rise in the months ahead, adding to the threat of asset price bubbles next year. 14th October 2009 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update More stimulus from China’s banks and much stronger trade There was no let-up last month in the lending growth that is fuelling China’s stimulus. For now, the Chinese recovery is benefitting the rest of the world through stronger imports. But as commodity... 14th October 2009 · 1 min read
UK Economics Focus From banking crisis to fiscal crisis? The measures put in place by governments to support their banking sectors and economies have helped to avert a full-scale financial meltdown and a 1930s-style economic depression. But the full costs... 12th October 2009 · 1 min read
UK Data Response CIPS/Markit manufacturing (Sep.) & Credit Conditions Survey (Q3) 1st October 2009 · 1 min read
UK Data Response National Accounts (Q2), M4 & H’hold borrowing (Aug.) 29th September 2009 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Euro-zone Monetary Indicators Monitor (Sep.) Today’s broad money data revealed that there are still few signs that the ECB’s provision of unlimited liquidity to banks is boosting broad money and credit growth. 25th September 2009 · 1 min read
UK Economics Update Monetary Indicators Monitor (Sep.) There are still only tentative signs that quantitative easing (QE) is starting to boost the broad money supply. Money growth is certainly still below the rates consistent with a decent economic... 18th September 2009 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Irish bad bank unlikely to get credit flowing again The release of further details of the Irish Government’s “bad bank” plans does little to change our view that bank lending will continue to contract for a sustained period. Ultimately, further... 17th September 2009 · 1 min read
UK Economics Focus Could the UK have a creditless recovery? With a significant pick-up in bank lending still looking unlikely, hopes are pinned on the economy achieving a so-called “creditless recovery.” This type of upturn has been seen before, both in the UK... 14th September 2009 · 1 min read
UK Economics Focus Could the UK have a creditless recovery? With a significant pick-up in bank lending still looking unlikely, hopes are pinned on the economy achieving a so-called “creditless recovery.” This type of upturn has been seen before, both in the UK... 14th September 2009 · 1 min read
UK Economics Update Rising bad debts on “normal” loans another blow for banks Today’s figures on banks’ debt write-offs are a reminder that, whilst the biggest losses on so-called “toxic” assets may be behind us, the recession-related losses on conventional loans to firms and... 1st September 2009 · 1 min read
UK Economics Update Rising bad debts on “normal” loans another blow for banks Today’s figures on banks’ debt write-offs are a reminder that, whilst the biggest losses on so-called “toxic” assets may be behind us, the recession-related losses on conventional loans to firms and... 1st September 2009 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Euro-zone Monetary Indicators Monitor (Aug.) The latest euro-zone money figures provided little sign that the ECB’s recent continued provision of liquidity to banks has prompted them to increase their lending to the wider economy. 27th August 2009 · 1 min read
UK Economics Focus Bank lending still set to fall well short Conditions in the banking system have clearly been improving. However, we doubt that this transforms the lending outlook. Indeed, we continue to think that over the foreseeable future, bank lending... 26th August 2009 · 1 min read
UK Economics Focus Bank lending still set to fall well short Conditions in the banking system have clearly been improving. However, we doubt that this transforms the lending outlook. Indeed, we continue to think that over the foreseeable future, bank lending... 26th August 2009 · 1 min read
