Global Economics Chart Pack Global Economics Chart Pack – Iran Conflict Edition (March 2026) The conflict in the Middle East has triggered a major shock to energy flows from the region, sending prices of oil and natural gas soaring. Shipments of petroleum through the Strait of Hormuz have... 10th March 2026 · 1 min read
Asset Allocation Update Market implications of three scenarios for the conflict Growing optimism that the conflict in the Middle East will be severe but short-lived has been accompanied over the past 24 hours by some retreat in the price of oil and a partial unwinding of the big... 10th March 2026 · 6 mins read
Capital Daily Escalation and asset markets With the war continuing to escalate, this edition of the Capital Daily takes stock of how markets have fared so far and provides some thoughts on what might – and might not – continue to fare the best... 9th March 2026 · 4 mins read
Capital Daily US stock market – down but not out Cracks in the US labour market have sparked a risk-off mood in markets, with Treasuries rallying and the S&P 500 sinking to its lows of the year. That said, the latter has been remarkably resilient... 6th March 2026 · 4 mins read
Global Markets Update EM assets have further to fall if Iran conflict intensifies While EM financial markets have started to stabilise following the recent selloff, they are vulnerable to a further deterioration in risk sentiment. Markets in EMEA appear most exposed due to... 5th March 2026 · 4 mins read
Europe Chart Pack Europe Chart Pack (Mar. 2026) The jump in energy prices since the outbreak of the Iran conflict poses an upside risk to our inflation forecast and downside risk to our GDP forecast. However, even if prices remain at their current... 5th March 2026 · 1 min read
Asset Allocation Chart Pack Interactive Markets Chart Pack We have updated our Interactive Markets Chart Pack with our views on the latest developments in global markets with a focus on how the events in the Middle East are affecting the outlook. Note: This... 5th March 2026 · 1 min read
Capital Daily Why Asia’s markets have been the most affected by the war East Asian equities – and Korea’s in particular – have been more sensitive to news about the war than most, but we remain cautiously optimistic about them over the medium term. 5th March 2026 · 3 mins read
Capital Daily Hope springs eternal in markets, even in a geopolitical storm The course of the war between the US/Israel and Iran remains unclear, but investors appear increasingly willing to look through the near-term uncertainty. 4th March 2026 · 5 mins read
China Economics Update China’s rebalancing conundrum A major policy push to boost domestic demand would both reflate China’s economy and reduce its large current account surplus, which is a source of tension with other countries. But this looks unlikely... 4th March 2026 · 9 mins read
Capital Daily What to make of the latest surge in Gilt yields The latest surge in Gilt yields mainly reflects investors’ assessment of how the conflict in the Middle East will affect inflation and monetary policy in the UK rather than having much to do with... 3rd March 2026 · 4 mins read
Asset Allocation Update US market implications of a spike in oil prices This Update considers whether any lessons can be learned from the oil crisis of the early 1970s when it comes to the potential effects on Treasuries and US equities from the current conflict in the... 2nd March 2026 · 4 mins read
