UK Housing Market Update Can Labour move the dial on housing supply? Labour has made housing a major theme of its conference, and the party’s attitude towards New Towns and social housing means that the next election could prove a turning point in the structure of the... 10th October 2023 · 4 mins read
US Housing Market Chart Pack US Housing Market Chart Pack Surging Treasury yields have pushed mortgage rates above 7.5%, higher than we had anticipated. If these borrowing rates persist, lending and sales volumes could fall even further in the near term... 10th October 2023 · 1 min read
UK Commercial Property Update Manufacturing a potential thorn in the side for industrial The UK manufacturing sector has faltered in recent months, as rising interest rates and slowing economies in many parts of the world have cut global demand. That spells trouble for manufacturing... 10th October 2023 · 3 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Bond market sell-off a reminder of real estate fragilities The scale of the rise in bond yields over recent weeks has provoked worries about the impact on real estate. The sell-off presents an upside risk to our yield outlook, but we think falling inflation... 9th October 2023 · 4 mins read
UK Housing Market Rapid Response Halifax House Prices (Sep. 23) The sixth consecutive monthly decline in the Halifax House Price Index in September leaves it significantly more downbeat than the Nationwide figures about near-term momentum in house prices. Given... 6th October 2023 · 2 mins read
UK Commercial Property Rapid Response S&P Global/ CIPS Construction PMI (Sep.) The decline in the headline CIPS construction PMI from 50.8 in August to 45.0 in September took it below the 50 “no-change” mark for the first time since January. The fall was driven by a plunge in... 5th October 2023 · 2 mins read
US Commercial Property Update Flexible offices unlikely to capitalise on hybrid working IWG’s record revenues in the first half of this year may suggest that flexible offices are the answer for many firms as hybrid working cements itself as the ‘new normal’. However, we don’t think... 4th October 2023 · 5 mins read
UK Commercial Property Update Lower food prices will benefit supermarkets Food price inflation is now falling back, which will help boost supermarket profits. That means the recent underperformance of the supermarket sector relative to all-retail will soon come to an end... 4th October 2023 · 3 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Outlook Decline in values to match GFC; offices fare worst With economic activity weakening, we expect rental growth to continue trending downwards over the next year. At the same time, valuations remain stretched despite property yields continuing to rise at... 4th October 2023 · 36 mins read
US Housing Market Rapid Response Mortgage Applications (Sep. 2023) Rising mortgage rates caused mortgage applications for home purchase to slip to a fresh 28-year low in September. With mortgage rates edging above 7.5% in the last week of the month as Treasury yields... 4th October 2023 · 2 mins read
US Commercial Property Update No support from job growth for Chicago and NYC offices Office-based jobs are on course to underperform total jobs this year for the first time since 2009 and there is a growing risk this could be repeated in 2024, though that is not yet our central... 3rd October 2023 · 4 mins read
UK Housing Market Update Homeownership increasingly unattainable Buying a first home has become increasingly difficult over the past 30 years. A high income is still essential, but other circumstances such as whether the individual is buying as part of a joint... 2nd October 2023 · 4 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Fair value estimates confirm scope for yield falls Fair value calculations combine valuation analysis with a forward-looking view of rents. As such, these estimates reinforce our existing view that there is scope for declines in euro-zone yields... 29th September 2023 · 3 mins read
UK Commercial Property Rapid Response Lending to commercial property (Aug. 23) 29th September 2023 · 2 mins read
UK Housing Market Update Spike in housing starts belies weak construction outlook As we anticipated, housing starts in England spiked to their highest level on record in Q2 as builders began work early to avoid having to conform with the Future Homes Standard. More timely monthly... 28th September 2023 · 3 mins read
