Commodities Chart Pack It’s all about the dollar Commodity prices rose again in April on a combination of persistent weakness in the US dollar and investor optimism about a recovery in Chinese demand. While our long-held view has been that... 3rd May 2016 · 1 min read
Commodities Outlook Medium-term prospects remain bright The recent rebounds in many commodity prices have been stronger than even we had anticipated and may be premature. We would not therefore be surprised – or that worried – to see some temporary pull... 29th April 2016 · 1 min read
China Economics Update When will pork price inflation peak? Pork price inflation in China surged in March, bringing echoes of 2007 and 2011, when spikes in pork prices caused headline consumer price inflation to jump above 6%. However, we think the upward... 26th April 2016 · 1 min read
Commodities Weekly Investor enthusiasm drives prices higher The prices of almost all commodities have risen this week, fuelled by the ongoing improvement in investor sentiment and renewed weakness in the US dollar. The rally in oil prices was perhaps somewhat... 22nd April 2016 · 1 min read
Commodities Update A mixed bag for Chinese agricultural imports in Q1 The detailed Chinese import data for March indicate that import demand picked up for some agricultural commodities in the first quarter of the year. Yet imports of some other commodities continued... 21st April 2016 · 1 min read
Commodities Update Investors turn positive on agriculturals again After the combined net-short position in eight of the main agriculturals we cover rose to a record level at the start of March, investor confidence has rebounded. Indeed, a weaker US dollar and more... 20th April 2016 · 1 min read
Commodities Update Prices rebound in April Having wobbled in late March, most commodity prices have rebounded of late. Stronger economic data for March out of China has assuaged some concerns about demand and more than offset the negative... 19th April 2016 · 1 min read
Commodities Update Support for the price of cocoa should fade later this year The price of cocoa is likely to remain elevated in the near term due to continued supply concerns. But as output returns to normal, we think that the price will fall over the second half of the year. 15th April 2016 · 1 min read
Commodities Update Glut of grains & soybeans heading into this year’s harvests The USDA’s latest demand and supply estimates continue to provide little evidence of any shortage of global corn, wheat and soybean supplies heading into the 2016/17 season. As such, we think prices... 13th April 2016 · 1 min read
Commodities Update Malaysia Monthly Palm Oil Data (Mar.) Data released earlier today by Malaysia’s Palm Oil Board show a further tightening of the market in March, despite a larger-than-expected rise in production. 11th April 2016 · 1 min read
Commodities Weekly Oil prices surge ahead of Doha meeting Commodity prices had a mixed week, despite support from further softness in the US dollar. In particular, key industrial metals dropped back, consistent with our view that the earlier surge was... 8th April 2016 · 1 min read
Commodities Update Strong US home building to underpin the price of lumber A pick up in US single-family home building should continue to support the price of US lumber this year even if the Canadian dollar gives back some ground against the greenback. 7th April 2016 · 1 min read
Commodities Update Agriculturals benefit from a weak dollar, but will it last? It has been a good month for agriculturals, with the S&P GSCI agriculture index rising by a little under 4% since the start of March. This reverses the downward trend in January and February... 5th April 2016 · 1 min read
Commodities Update Surge in US acreage doesn’t bode well for corn prices With sizeable US inventories and the likelihood of large US corn and soybean plantings this year, we remain of the view that prices of grains and soybeans are likely to fall over the course of the... 1st April 2016 · 1 min read
Commodities Weekly Commodities hit by strong US data and Saudi comments Markets began the second quarter on Friday on a sour note, with sentiment undermined both by a weak Tankan survey in Japan and, rather perversely, by another robust Employment Report and a buoyant ISM... 1st April 2016 · 1 min read
Commodities Update How will the reform of the EU sugar regime affect world prices? The European Union (EU) sugar regime governs the production, sale and trade in sugar within the region. In 2017, the regime will be liberalised: production quotas will be abolished and guaranteed... 31st March 2016 · 1 min read
