Filtered by Subscriptions: UK Economics Use setting UK Economics
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Retailers are taking the hit …
21st January 2008
Even aggressive price discounting is not tempting consumers to part with their cash. Interpreting sales figures at this time of year should be done with caution, due to problems with seasonal adjustment and the chance that retail sales rebound as the …
18th January 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … UK Retail Sales (Dec.) …
The probable nationalisation of Northern Rock is unlikely to lead to a clear breach of the Chancellor’s fiscal rules, which apply over the whole economic cycle. Nonetheless, it would further underline the lack of scope for a relaxation of fiscal policy to …
17th January 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … UK BCC Economic Survey (Q4) …
Concerns over the outlook for UK inflation look set to linger for some months, limiting the pace at which interest rates fall and increasing the risk that the economic slowdown will prove deeper and longer than some previous downturns. … How long will …
The recent fall in the UK stockmarket is unlikely to have a significant impact on households’ behaviour on its own. But added to the prospect of falling house prices and sluggish income growth, it is another factor which threatens to slow the growth of …
16th January 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … UK Labour Market Data (Nov./Dec.) …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … UK Consumer Prices (Dec.) …
15th January 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Producer Prices (Dec.) …
14th January 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Spending slowdown seems to have arrived …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … UK Industrial Production (Nov.) …
11th January 2008
The rapid fall in interbank interest rates towards more normal levels is a welcome development but does not negate the need for further cuts in official interest rates. The growing emergence that the previously high level of interbank rates and the …
The inflationary risk posed by the mounting unrest about the Government’s hard-line stance on public sector pay is fairly limited. The main risk to pay growth comes directly from the private sector, although even here we expect any pick-up in earnings …
10th January 2008
Today’s decision by the Monetary Policy Committee to leave interest rates on hold was purely a matter of timing. With the Committee apparently agreed that a significant monetary loosening is required, we still expect interest rates to fall as far as 4% by …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … UK Trade (Nov.) …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … UK BRC Retail Sales Monitor & Halifax House Prices (Dec.) …
8th January 2008
The recent sharp fall in the sterling trade-weighted exchange rate represents a loosening of monetary conditions in the UK economy. However, it is unlikely to prevent the Monetary Policy Committee from having to cut interest rates sharply over the coming …
7th January 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … LIBOR falling, but damage already done …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Household borrowing (Nov.) & CIPS/RBS Services (Dec.) …
4th January 2008
The latest information on pay settlements suggests that workers are gaining the upper hand in pay bargaining. But while the risk of a substantial pick-up in pay growth is the biggest in a few years, there are good reasons why the feared acceleration in …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … January pay round should again pass without event …
After a nail-biter in December, January’s interest rate decision is shaping up to be just as close. The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) seems pretty certain that rates need to fall significantly further and will be keen not to “fall behind the curve”. But …
3rd January 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Bank of England Credit Conditions, 2007Q4 …
The rise in the oil price close to, and briefly through, the $100 per barrel level has prompted renewed concern over inflation. But the equally worrying implications for activity suggest that the increase will not prevent UK interest rates from falling …
The coming slowdown in the UK economy looks set to be a fundamental adjustment rather than a brief pause for breath such as that seen a couple of years ago. Growth will be weak in both 2008 and 2009 and interest rates could fall as low as 4%. … A …
2nd January 2008
The housing market appears to have taken a turn for the worse over the last month. House prices have now fallen on the Nationwide, Halifax, Hometrack, RICS and Rightmove measures. Indeed, on the Halifax measure they have fallen by a total of 2.4% in the …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … UK CIPS/RBS Report on Manufacturing (Dec.) …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Consumer slowdown to keep the lid on core inflation …
24th December 2007
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Consumer resilience to disappear come the new year (Dec 07) …
21st December 2007
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … National Accounts, Bal. of Payments & Pub. Finances …
20th December 2007
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … MPC Minutes (Dec.) …
19th December 2007
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … UK Consumer Prices (Nov.) …
18th December 2007
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Liquidity boost is no economic panacea …
17th December 2007
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … UK BoE Inflation Attitudes & CBI survey (Nov./Dec.) …
13th December 2007
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … RICS Housing Market Survey (Nov.) …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Central banks ease the liquidity crisis, but problems go deeper …
12th December 2007
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … UK Labour Market Data (Oct./Nov.) …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Utility price hikes won't materially alter the inflation outlook …
11th December 2007