US Housing Market Rapid Response US Case-Shiller/FHFA House Prices (Jun. 2026) Even though the 0.2% m/m rise in house prices in June was stronger than we expected, we remain reasonably confident that prices will lose momentum heading into the third quarter as the backward... 25th August 2026 · 2 mins read
US Housing Market Rapid Response US Housing Starts (Jul. 2026) Sharp declines in both single- and multi-family starts in July suggest developers were wary of starting new projects amid the renewed rise in mortgage rates. But stronger permit issuance across both... 18th August 2026 · 2 mins read
US Housing Market Rapid Response US Existing Home Sales (Jul. 2026) The modest fall in existing home sales in July will probably be followed by further declines in the next few releases, reflecting the steady rise in mortgage rates through June and July, which reached... 11th August 2026 · 2 mins read
US Housing Market Rapid Response US Case-Shiller/FHFA House Prices (May 2026) Although house prices regained some momentum in May the recent rebound in mortgage rates to around 6.8% will further weigh on affordability, suggesting this won’t be sustained. 28th July 2026 · 2 mins read
US Housing Market Rapid Response US Housing Starts (Jun. 2026) Rebound in homebuilding not as good as it looks The strong rebound in housing starts in June wasn’t quite as promising the headline number suggests, as it was entirely driven by a surge in the... 17th July 2026 · 1 min read
US Housing Market Rapid Response US Existing Home Sales (Jun. 2026) Higher mortgage rates weighing on homebuying The fall in existing home sales in June, together with the further rise in mortgage rates in recent months, continues to point to downside risks to our... 9th July 2026 · 1 min read
US Housing Market Rapid Response US Case-Shiller/FHFA House Prices (Apr. 2026) Pause in house price falls will be temporary The unchanged level of house prices in April was a slightly better result than we had been predicting and reinforced our view that a sustained downturn in... 30th June 2026 · 2 mins read
US Housing Market Rapid Response US Housing Starts (May 2026) Looking past the volatility in multifamily starts, the latest batch of data suggest the housing market is just about weathering the latest rise in mortgage rates. 16th June 2026 · 1 min read
US Housing Market Rapid Response US Existing Home Sales (May 2026) The rise in existing home sales in May was a bit stronger than we expected but, given the further increase in mortgage rates in recent weeks, we remain concerned about the downside risks to our... 9th June 2026 · 2 mins read
US Housing Market Rapid Response US Case-Shiller/FHFA House Prices (Mar. 2026) Back-to-back house price declines in February in March, before the full effects of the Iran war on mortgage rates would even have been felt, suggest now is the time to downgrade our forecast. Rather... 26th May 2026 · 2 mins read
US Housing Market Rapid Response US Housing Starts (Apr. 2026) The small fall in housing starts in April masks a weaker underlying picture, with a surge in volatile multi-family starts offsetting a material weakening in single-family groundbreaking, albeit from a... 21st May 2026 · 1 min read
US Housing Market Rapid Response US Existing Home Sales (Apr. 2026) The barely changed level of existing home sales in April shows how elevated mortgage rates and economic uncertainty are dissuading homebuying. With the full impact of the recent rise in borrowing... 11th May 2026 · 2 mins read
US Rapid Response US Durable Goods Orders, Advance Economic Indicators (Mar. 2026) & Housing Starts (Feb./Mar. 2026) The batch of data just published suggest the risks to our estimate that first-quarter GDP growth will come in at 2.5% annualised in tomorrow’s advance release are skewed to the upside. 29th April 2026 · 2 mins read
US Housing Market Rapid Response US Case-Shiller/FHFA House Prices (Feb. 2026) The surprise fall in house prices in February suggests the market was on even weaker footing than previously thought ahead of the jump in mortgage rates tied to the Iran war. Despite this, we are not... 28th April 2026 · 2 mins read
US Housing Market Rapid Response US Existing Home Sales (Mar. 2026) Existing home sales fell back below the historically weak 4m annualised level in March and prospects for April do not look much better, as timely indicators point to weakening housing demand following... 13th April 2026 · 2 mins read
US Housing Market Rapid Response US Mortgage Applications (Mar. 2026) As the timeliest housing activity data we get, the drop in home purchase mortgage applications throughout March is the first clear evidence of homebuyers pulling back in response to higher borrowing... 8th April 2026 · 2 mins read
