UK Commercial Property Update Strong rent prospects support UK industrial valuations Decent rental growth expectations and a narrowing risk premium imply that industrial is only marginally overvalued, despite an historically narrow gap between industrial yields and alternative asset... 12th August 2025 · 3 mins read
UK Commercial Property Update RICS survey shows a stagnant UK commercial real estate market The RICS survey showed that occupier demand was still weak in Q2, with firms reluctant to expand in the face of higher costs and an uncertain economic outlook. In line with that, rental and capital... 31st July 2025 · 3 mins read
Global Commercial Property Update Global CRE to outperform other assets Although a forecast global real estate return of sub-6% p.a. over the next decade appears disappointing, compared to other assets it stacks up well. We expect sub-4% total returns for both global... 24th July 2025 · 4 mins read
UK Commercial Property Update Will lender confidence drive UK commercial property capital values up? The current narrow spread between property yields and financing costs, combined with bullish lender capital value expectations, might be seen as an indication that a credit cycle is brewing and... 18th July 2025 · 4 mins read
UK Commercial Property Update Upward-only rent review ban in England and Wales would nudge commercial property yields up Experience from Ireland suggests that a ban on upward-only rent reviews will weigh on future rental growth and widen property yield spreads to risk-free rates. While the overall impact is unlikely to... 15th July 2025 · 4 mins read
Global Commercial Property Update APAC property to underperform globally Poor performance in the US and APAC property markets is set to drag on the global recovery over the next few years. While strong economic fundamentals argue for a material improvement in total returns... 10th July 2025 · 3 mins read
UK Commercial Property Update Household savings to support UK spending and retail rents Real household disposable income growth is now slowing, but we still expect household consumption will accelerate to around 1.8% y/y on average over 2025-27 as households start to run down the savings... 2nd July 2025 · 3 mins read
Climate Economics Update The changing face of the global tourism market Somewhat paradoxically, climate-driven shifts in tourist patterns could help to smooth the seasonal peaks seen in summer destinations, and some countries – particularly in northern Europe – will... 1st July 2025 · 3 mins read
UK Commercial Property Update Obsolescence to hit UK secondary logistics rental growth Despite solid take-up the industrial vacancy rate has risen to a 10-year high, which reflects occupiers shifting into new buildings at the expense of the secondhand market. We expect that dynamic to... 25th June 2025 · 3 mins read
UK Commercial Property Update UK multifamily returns to be supported by easing costs A combination of factors, including surging energy and wage costs and an increased regulatory burden, have pushed multifamily operational costs to over 40% of rent, cutting income returns. But with... 19th June 2025 · 3 mins read
UK Commercial Property Update Closing UK commercial property SDLT ‘loophole’ will weigh on capital values The Deputy Prime Minister has urged the Chancellor to close the commercial property stamp duty ‘loophole’, which could lead to an average increase in tax on property transactions of 2.0 to 2.5%-pts... 13th June 2025 · 3 mins read
Middle East & North Africa Economics Update Israel’s strikes on Iran: assessing the macro impact The overnight strikes by Israel on Iran mark a major escalation in the conflict in the region and, with the oil market tighter than it was a few months ago, the risks to oil prices look more balanced... 13th June 2025 · 6 mins read
UK Commercial Property Update UK commercial property development on the road to recovery After a lean couple of years, the outlook for commercial property construction is brightening. While the economic outlook is fairly weak, vacancy rates in some subsectors such as prime offices and... 6th June 2025 · 4 mins read
UK Commercial Property Update IPF Consensus Forecasts (May. 25.) There were few major changes in the May IPF Consensus Survey despite increased economic uncertainty. Total returns at the all-property level are forecast to be around 8.0% p.a. over 2025-29, which... 29th May 2025 · 3 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Residential in the UK and the Netherlands to outperform European residential property outperformed all-property for the third consecutive year in 2024 and our updated forecasts suggest that this will continue over the coming five years. Returns were... 27th May 2025 · 3 mins read
Global Economics Update Global Trade Stress Monitor To cut through the noise surrounding tariff impacts, we’ve pinpointed seven key stages in the global trade cycle – tracking in real time how each is responding to tariffs. This tool helps clients... 13th May 2025 (Updated 3rd August 2025) · 0 mins read
