Europe Commercial Property Update Ireland's property market is a long way from recovery Yesterday’s disappointing Q2 Irish GDP figures support our view that the economy will stagnate at best over this year and next. Although commercial property prices have already fallen by more than 70%... 24th September 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update CEE retail rental values are unlikely to recovery anytime soon Within Central & Eastern Europe, there have been some signs of a recovery in occupier demand, most notably in Poland. However, despite supply pipelines having been drastically reduced across the... 23rd September 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Will a lack of supply drive a recovery in European office rental values? A shortage of supply in the Central London office market is likely to drive relatively strong rental growth this year and next. In Europe, however, although office development pipelines have also been... 16th September 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Further falls in euro-zone industrial rental values are likely The fact that the euro-zone industrial recovery appears to be losing momentum does not bode well for industrial occupier demand or rental values across the region. As such, our forecasts that falls in... 14th September 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Prague vs. Warsaw: where are office market prospects brightest? The outlook for office occupier demand looks to be considerably stronger in Warsaw than in Prague. What’s more, completion volumes in Warsaw are finally beginning to slow, suggesting that the vacancy... 9th September 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Interest rate rises unlikely to dampen Swedish property recovery The latest rise in Swedish interest rates may raise concerns that the nascent commercial property market recovery could slow. But that seems unlikely. For one thing, interest rates are still very low... 8th September 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Has the Spanish retail property market outlook improved? The increase in Spanish household spending in the first half of 2010 suggests that the outlook for Spanish retail property may be improving. However, we remain cautious. Among other things, with one... 3rd September 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Time to be more positive on German retail property? Recent economic data suggest that the export-led recovery in Germany is spreading to domestic demand. However, there are reasons to remain cautious and our view remains that the scope for the German... 1st September 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Hungarian retail yield recovery may prove premature The recent sharp fall in Hungarian prime retail yields is encouraging. However, we suspect that the recovery may have got ahead of itself. In our view, the very weak consumer outlook and the potential... 25th August 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Underperformance of Czech Republic industrial yields is unlikely to last The fact that prime industrial yields in the Czech Republic are lagging the recovery in most of Emerging Europe does not square with the macro data. In addition, with prospects for rental value growth... 23rd August 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Why are Dutch retail yields leading the euro-zone recovery? Boosted by the low level of unemployment and relatively attractive pricing, strong demand among large institutional investors has pushed prime retail yields down in the Netherlands more so than... 20th August 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Will Stockholm's prime office yield underperformance last? The recovery in Stockholm’s prime office yields may have got off to a late start, but we do not think their underperformance relative to the neighbouring Nordic markets of Copenhagen and Oslo will... 18th August 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update GDP data flatter the euro-zone occupier market outlook The surprisingly strong rise in euro-zone GDP in Q2 2010 is probably less supportive for occupier markets than it appears at first sight. For a start, the region remains vulnerable to a slowdown in... 13th August 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Are Paris retail yields too low? Compared to offices, history suggests that retail property yields in Paris are too low. The weak outlook for consumer spending and the stronger outlook for office rental value growth point to the same... 5th August 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Italy: the best of a bad bunch? The Q2 2010 RICS global commercial property survey points to a divergence in commercial property performance between Italy and the rest of the so-called “PIIGS”. That is consistent with our view that... 26th July 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Moscow office rents are more likely to stabilise than recover The increase in Moscow office rental values in Q2 is likely to prove a one-off. Although the occupier market has seen a continued improvement over the past few quarters, we think that the main driving... 23rd July 2010 · 1 min read