Precious Metals Update Brighter times ahead for India’s gold demand India’s gold demand has undeniably been weak so far in 2016, but we expect buying to pick up later in the year due to the release of pent-up demand following a jewellers’ strike in Q2 and to the... 17th June 2016 · 1 min read
Energy Update Are renewables jumping the queue? A surge in investment in renewable energy capacity over the last few years has led to these alternative power sources taking market share from fossil fuels. This trend looks set to continue over the... 17th June 2016 · 1 min read
Industrial Metals Update Iron ore prices have further to fall The price of iron ore appears to have stabilised around $50 per tonne, after a dramatic run-up earlier this year. But we think prices will continue to ease back given oversupply and waning demand. 17th June 2016 · 1 min read
Industrial Metals Update Industrial and precious metals prices diverge The commodity price indices have risen in the last month, encouraged by rising oil prices and by a scaling back of expectations for US interest rate rises which in turn has weakened the dollar. But... 16th June 2016 · 1 min read
US Data Response Consumer Prices (May) Headline CPI inflation remained well below the Fed’s target in May, but base effects will push it well above 2% by early next year. Both headline and core consumer prices increased by a solid 0.2% m/m... 16th June 2016 · 1 min read
Africa Chart Pack Africa: Economic giants now contracting Both the Nigerian and South African economies contracted in Q1, and the latest activity figures suggest that things remained very grim going into Q2. In Nigeria, disruptions to oil output in Q2 have... 16th June 2016 · 1 min read
Energy Data Response Energy Data Response US crude stocks fell again last week due to lower imports and production. Demand for gasoline rose to an all-time high as low prices continue to stimulate consumption. 15th June 2016 · 1 min read
Precious Metals Update Negative yields to boost gold’s appeal as a reserve asset The commodity price indices have risen in the last month, encouraged by rising oil prices and by a scaling back of expectations for US interest rate rises which in turn has weakened the dollar. But... 14th June 2016 · 1 min read
Commodities Update Uncertain times ahead Commodity price indices have had another strong month, supported by positive investor sentiment and the rally in the oil price. However, sentiment started to sour more recently on mixed data out of... 14th June 2016 · 1 min read
OPEC Watch OPEC point to balanced market by the end of the year OPEC’s oil production slipped in May as disruptions to output in Nigeria outweighed increases in production elsewhere. Meanwhile, the group left all of its major forecasts unchanged but suggested that... 13th June 2016 · 1 min read
Commodities Weekly “Brexit” risks coming into focus Commodity prices have generally risen in the past week, helped by further dollar weakness. However, sentiment already appears to be turning more cautious on renewed concerns over the health of the... 10th June 2016 · 1 min read
Canada Economics Weekly Energy production other shoe to drop Despite the rebound in oil prices this year, domestic energy producers don’t appear to believe in a sustainable recovery judging by the further decline in oil & gas drilling rig activity. Falling... 10th June 2016 · 1 min read
Precious Metals Update How big a boost might “Brexit” provide to gold? There appears to be an increasingly close relationship between the gold price and the chances of the UK voting to leave the European Union, as implied by bookmakers’ odds. This is consistent, of... 10th June 2016 · 1 min read
Commodities Update What would “Brexit” mean for commodities? A UK vote to leave the European Union (“ Brexit ”) would presumably have a negative impact on global business and investor confidence. This in turn is likely to undermine the prices of industrial... 9th June 2016 · 1 min read
Precious Metals Update Gold rebounds as US real yields hit one-year low The gold price has rallied this week as expectations of a June rate hike by the Fed have been abandoned. However, while we expect that the Fed will resume its tightening later in the year, real... 9th June 2016 · 1 min read
Energy Update Nigerian oil output disruptions are another wildcard for prices It is likely that further disruptions to Nigerian oil output over the next few weeks and months will continue to support oil prices, even as production from Canada returns. 9th June 2016 · 1 min read
