Asia Economics Weekly Should Asia fear a collapse in the renminbi? Fears of a sudden devaluation of the Chinese renminbi have cast a shadow over Emerging Asia’s economic prospects since the start of the year. But while Asian exporters would hardly welcome a slump in... 15th January 2016 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Weekly Elections in 2016 – what they mean for Asia In this first Weekly of 2016, we take our usual look at the important elections that are set to take place in Asia over the coming year, assessing the implications for policymaking and the region’s... 8th January 2016 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Weekly What to expect from Asia in 2016 A slump in exports, slowing growth and falling currencies made for a grim 2015. But will next year be any better? In this final Weekly of the year, we outline our key calls for 2016. 18th December 2015 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Weekly No need to panic about Fed lift-off For most of Emerging Asia an increase in US interest rates is not a major cause for concern. Only in Malaysia, Hong Kong and Singapore do we think Fed tightening could cause some problems. 11th December 2015 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Weekly Taiwan’s recession will be brief Taiwan’s economy slipped into recession last quarter as the country’s terrible export performance fed into much weaker consumer spending. However, we expect a return to growth in the fourth quarter... 4th December 2015 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Weekly Fears of Asia slowdown overdone For all the talk of a sharp slowdown in Asia, regional growth remains remarkably stable. That said, there are still no signs of recovery, with exports again acting as a drag on growth in the third... 27th November 2015 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Weekly Asia well placed to weather Fed lift-off The parts of Asia that were hardest hit during the 2013 “Taper Tantrum” have seen their current account deficits fall back, or even disappear, over the past couple of years. This should make them less... 20th November 2015 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Weekly Asia’s central banks in no rush to reverse rate cuts Asia’s central banks will be in no hurry to raise interest rates next year despite the fact that inflation is likely to rise sharply over the coming months and the US Fed could just be a few weeks... 13th November 2015 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Weekly Philippines well placed to grow strongly after the election With six months to go before presidential elections in the Philippines, and the incumbent, Benigno Aquino, barred from running again, attention has started to turn to who will replace him. Although... 6th November 2015 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Weekly Credit slowdown has further to run Credit growth has continued to weaken in most of the countries which we have previously highlighted as being most at risk of a crisis. The two exceptions are China and Vietnam. Although an... 30th October 2015 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Weekly Growth in Taiwan to recover after weak third quarter Figures due to be released over the coming week are likely to show that growth in Taiwan slowed sharply last quarter. However, with prospects for exports improving and domestic demand likely to remain... 23rd October 2015 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Weekly Deflation: Exit ahead The latest warnings that deflation is a major cause for concern in Emerging Asia are wide of the mark. In fact, we think inflation will be back in positive territory across the entire region by early... 16th October 2015 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Weekly Rupiah rebound unlikely to prompt immediate rate cuts The rebound in the Indonesian rupiah over the past week is unlikely to be enough to persuade Bank Indonesia to cut interest rates at its meeting on Thursday. But provided the recent rally does not go... 9th October 2015 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Weekly Singapore to opt against policy loosening Singapore should emerge from its recent bout of deflation toward the end of the year. Given this, we think that the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) will opt against loosening policy at its bi... 2nd October 2015 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Weekly Vietnam – a rare bright spot At a time when growth in most of Emerging Asia is slowing, Vietnam stands out as one of the region’s few bright spots. Although we expect the country’s strong performance to continue over the next... 25th September 2015 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Weekly Signs of improvement in Indonesia After a disappointing first ten months to Joko Widodo’s presidency, there are encouraging signs that policymaking in Indonesia is finally starting to improve. However, we will need to see further... 18th September 2015 · 1 min read
