US Housing Market Outlook US Housing Outlook: Market in need of rate relief that is not coming President Trump’s inflationary trade and immigration policies leave no clear path to the lower borrowing costs that the housing market desperately needs. A tariff-driven resurgence in inflation will... 2nd May 2025 · 15 mins read
US Housing Market Rapid Response US Housing Starts (Mar. 2025) The sharp fall in housing starts in March is less concerning than it seems at first glance, partly reflecting a normalisation in homebuilding after February’s weather-driven surge, rather than a... 17th April 2025 · 2 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Outlook Europe Commercial Property Outlook: Higher interest rates weaken the recovery Following upward revisions to our forecasts for policy rates and bond yields, we have raised our forecasts for prime property yields in Europe and now expect increases of around 20-25bps by the end of... 27th March 2025 · 28 mins read
US Housing Market Rapid Response US Housing Starts (Feb. 2025) The sharp rebound in housing starts in February and healthy permit issuance shows that the housing market is still holding up well. Nonetheless, with tariff concerns continuing to weigh on... 18th March 2025 · 2 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Chart Pack Europe Commercial Property Chart Pack (Q1 2025) Euro-zone prime property yields fell slightly in Q4, led by offices and industrial. However, a slowdown in rental gains as vacancy climbed higher meant that capital value growth slowed slightly... 28th February 2025 · 0 mins read
US Housing Market Rapid Response US Housing Starts (Jan. 2025) The decline in housing starts in January is not a major concern, as it comes after a surge in starts in December and appears partly driven by the unseasonably harsh weather. Encouragingly, permit... 19th February 2025 · 2 mins read
UK Housing Market Update Rental supply to remain tight While it is possible that a fall in mortgage rates will trigger a modest increase in the number of rental properties over the next two years, we doubt this will offset the weakness in rental supply... 11th February 2025 · 4 mins read
US Commercial Property Update US office inventory to shrink further by 2030 While 2024 was the first year in which inventory removals outpaced completions, we expect strong conversions activity to make it the first of many. Indeed, thanks to further declines in office... 10th February 2025 · 3 mins read
UK Commercial Property Update Will new London office supply run dry from 2027? The Central London office pipeline looks set to go from feast to famine over the next few years, with a sharp drop in planned completions from 2027. But we doubt new office supply will run dry... 10th February 2025 · 4 mins read
US Housing Market Rapid Response Housing Starts (Dec. 2024) The large rebound in housing starts and continued resilience of building permits in December provides some support to our forecast that starts will remain solid in the first half of the year. However... 17th January 2025 · 2 mins read
US Housing Market Outlook Sales slump to drag into 2025 The potentially inflationary policy mix of the incoming Trump administration will limit the decline in mortgage rates this year, squashing hopes for a major recovery in home sales. We expect... 8th January 2025 · 14 mins read
US Housing Market Rapid Response Housing Starts (Nov. 2024) The decline in housing starts in November was entirely due to weakness in multifamily construction, which outweighed a post-hurricane rebound in single-family construction. The rise in permits to a... 18th December 2024 · 2 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Chart Pack Europe Commercial Property Chart Pack (Q4 2024) Stable property yields and solid rental growth supported a second rise in prime all-property values in Q3. While there is still likely to be upward pressure on yields in some markets, property values... 21st November 2024 · 0 mins read
US Housing Market Outlook Lower mortgage rates to gradually thaw frozen market We expect mortgage rates to continue falling, dropping below 6% in 2026. Lower borrowing costs will breathe some life into the market, but stretched affordability and tight supply due to mortgage rate... 10th October 2024 · 14 mins read
US Housing Market Rapid Response Housing Starts (Aug. 2024) The large rise in housing starts in August was due to a rebound in starts in the south, confirming that the July slump was a temporary disruption caused by Hurricane Beryl. The increase in permits... 18th September 2024 · 2 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Chart Pack Europe Commercial Property Chart Pack (Q3 2024) A stabilisation of property yields and solid rent growth mean that euro-zone all-property values increased in Q2 for the first time in two years. However, market sentiment remains very weak and... 23rd August 2024 · 0 mins read
