US Housing Market Outlook US Housing Outlook: No clear path to housing recovery Activity in the housing market has been struck in a slump since 2023, with still no end in sight. As Trump’s immigration and trade policies push up inflation this year, the Fed will be forced to keep... 10th July 2025 · 12 mins read
UK Housing Market Update UK RICS Residential Market Survey (Jun. 2025) While June’s RICS survey suggests most of the recent weakness in the housing market was due to the temporary influence of the change in stamp duty, it doesn’t yet point to a marked recovery in demand... 10th July 2025 · 3 mins read
UK Housing Market Update Slower UK house price growth in 2025, bigger rebound in 2026 The continued weakness in the housing market over the first six months of this year and the cracking labour market means we now expect the recovery in house prices to start later and be slower. But... 8th July 2025 · 3 mins read
UK Housing Market Rapid Response UK Halifax House Prices (Jun. 2025) The stagnation in the Halifax house price index in June suggests that the housing market remains slow to recover from both the rise in stamp duty on 1st April and the weak economy. While there are... 7th July 2025 · 2 mins read
UK Housing Market Chart Pack UK Housing Market Chart Pack (Jul. 2025) The big 0.8% m/m fall in Nationwide house prices in June suggests that the housing market is still struggling to recover from both the stamp duty-induced lull and the weak economy. While some leading... 3rd July 2025 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Spanish house prices will continue to climb High income growth and immigration are likely to continue to drive increases in house prices in Spain over the coming years. Demand will be further boosted by the recent fall in mortgage interest... 3rd July 2025 · 4 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Economics Update Stretched affordability will limit housing rebound The fact that the RBA isn’t cutting interest rates during a housing downturn won’t limit the rebound in house prices, but the extremely stretched level of affordability will do so. Even though we... 3rd July 2025 · 3 mins read
UK Housing Market Rapid Response UK Nationwide House Prices (Jun. 2025) The large fall in the Nationwide measure of house prices in June shows that the housing market is still struggling to recover from the combination of the stamp duty induced lull and the subdued... 1st July 2025 · 3 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Economics Update Australia's housing rebound has further to run House prices rose the most since last year in June and with the RBA set to cut interest rates much further, the housing market will continue to gain momentum. However, affordability will remain quite... 1st July 2025 · 3 mins read
US Housing Market Chart Pack US Housing Market Chart Pack (Jun. 2025) Housing is struggling under the weight of high borrowing costs – a problem unlikely to ease if, as we expect, the Fed holds rates steady this year due to tariff-driven inflation, followed by only a... 30th June 2025 · 1 min read
US Housing Market Update Dip in house prices won’t turn into deeper correction Recent house price declines suggest a shift toward a more buyer-friendly market, as rising home listings increase choice and temper seller expectations. Nonetheless, leading indicators and solid... 30th June 2025 · 4 mins read
UK Economics Rapid Response UK Money & Lending (May 2025) Today’s money and lending data release supports wider evidence that activity was relatively soft in May. But with consumer confidence improving and real wages rising at a healthy clip, we still think... 30th June 2025 · 3 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Economic Outlook ANZ Outlook: Central banks to loosen further as recoveries falter Australia’s economy is struggling to gain momentum, while the recent rebound in activity in New Zealand isn’t likely to be sustained. As the lull in activity lifts spare capacity, underlying price... 26th June 2025 · 20 mins read
UK Housing Market Update Why UK housing demand can recover despite high mortgage rates Two developments in borrower and lending behaviour mean that housing activity and prices can be higher than before the pandemic for any given mortgage rate. That’s why we expect housing transactions... 18th June 2025 · 6 mins read
Canada Economics Update Canada Housing Watch (June 25) The rise in home sales in May suggests a nascent recovery is underway in the housing market following a tariff-induced shock. While we see further upside for house prices this year, as lower mortgage... 16th June 2025 · 4 mins read
UK Housing Market Rapid Response UK Halifax House Prices (May 2025) The fall back in house prices on the Halifax measure in May increases the chances that more of the recent soft patch in the housing market is due to the subdued economy than the temporary effects of... 6th June 2025 · 3 mins read