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Emerging Markets Forecast Forum 2018

20 February, 2018
The RAC

08:30     Coffee & registration

08:55     Introduction

Roger Bootle, Chairman

09:00     The coming slowdown in China

Mark Williams, Chief Asia Economist

  • Can China kick its addiction to debt?
  • Is a strong President Xi positive for reform?
  • What is the outlook for growth over the years ahead?

09:15     What’s the outlook for the rest of the emerging world?

Neil Shearing, Chief Emerging Markets Economist

  • How much of the recent rebound is domestically-generated?
  • Which regions will deliver surprises in 2018?
  • What is the medium-term outlook for EM growth?

09:30     Will Africa be the next EM powerhouse?

John Ashbourne, Africa Economist

  • Can Africa follow in the path of the Asian tigers?
  • Which of the region’s economies will out-perform?
  • Can Ramaphosa reform South Africa?

09:45     The implications for EM financial markets

Oliver Jones, Markets Economist

  • How will EM bonds, equities and currencies perform over the next two years?
  • Are markets too sanguine about the risks posed by a slowing China and tightening Fed?
  • What are the implications of lower trend growth for EM financial markets?

10:00     Questions and discussion

Chaired by Roger Bootle

10:30     Close & Coffee

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