Global Commercial Property Chart Pack

Global Commercial Property Chartpack (Q4 2025)

Global property returns have improved in 2025, though performance in APAC and the US has lagged Europe. This divergence is set to continue in 2026. However, we expect performance in the US will...

17th December 2025 · 0 mins read

APAC Commercial Property Update

Rental growth will help Japan defy the squeezed yield spread

Rising interest rates in Japan have raised concerns about whether this will slow investment activity and exert downward pressure on capital values. Our view is that while the risk-free rate will...

16th December 2025 · 3 mins read

US Commercial Property Rapid Response

US Commercial Property Lending (Nov. 25)

Net lending by banks to commercial real estate jumped to $13.8bn in November, the strongest monthly outturn since February 2023. That followed a strong month for net lending in October, and as a...

12th December 2025 · 1 min read

Europe Commercial Property Outlook

Commercial property recovery losing steam

The recovery in European commercial property values is slowing and we think this will continue as soft economic growth weighs on rents and elevated interest rates limit yield-driven capital gains...

11th December 2025 · 23 mins read

US Commercial Property Update

Q4 PREA consensus trimmed forecasts again, but not enough

The Q4 PREA consensus downgraded the all-property forecast for 2026-29. Even so, the consensus is still notably more optimistic than us. Indeed, stretched valuations mean we expect a modest rise in...

9th December 2025 · 3 mins read

Global Commercial Property Update

Key themes for global commercial real estate in 2026

As the new year approaches, we are highlighting the key themes that we think will set the overarching narrative for global commercial real estate in 2026.

5th December 2025 · 4 mins read

US Commercial Property Outlook

Retail shines in a disappointing recovery

Below-trend economic growth and high interest rates will continue to weigh on all-property total returns, which we think will average just 5.5% p.a. over 2026-30. Of the major sectors, we think retail...

4th December 2025 · 21 mins read

UK Commercial Property Rapid Response

S&P Global/CIPS UK Construction PMI (Nov. 25)

The headline CIPS construction PMI fell for the second consecutive month to a new post-pandemic low of 39.4 in November. The drop was broad-based across the sectors, with the housing balance seeing a...

4th December 2025 · 1 min read

APAC Commercial Property Outlook

Narrow yield spreads to limit size and speed of the recovery

Asia-Pacific property faces a slow, uneven recovery as high risk-free rates and weak growth limit investment demand and therefore, prospects for yield-driven capital gains. Spreads over risk-free...

2nd December 2025 · 18 mins read

UK Commercial Property Rapid Response

Lending to UK commercial property (Oct. 25)

At £1.47bn, net lending to commercial property softened again in October, from the £1.65bn recorded in September. That pushed the three-month total down to £5.7bn, the lowest level since June.

1st December 2025 · 2 mins read

UK Commercial Property Outlook

UK Commercial Property Outlook: Higher gilt yields and taxes to weigh on recovery

With the 10-year gilt yield now set to be higher for longer and the Budget likely to raise taxes on households, the outlook for commercial property has become a bit gloomier. We now expect total...

25th November 2025 · 26 mins read

Europe Commercial Property Update

2026 looking brighter for European property investment

The muted, uneven recovery in European investment continued in Q3, with indicators suggesting this will persist in Q4. The outlook for 2026 looks brighter, with lower interest rates providing a key...

25th November 2025 · 3 mins read

Europe Commercial Property Chart Pack

Europe Commercial Property Chart Pack (Q4 2025)

Softening rental growth and steady yields weighed on capital value growth in many markets in Q3. And this is likely to continue, with our Capital Value Lead Indicator pointing to a further slowdown in...

24th November 2025 · 0 mins read

US Commercial Property Chart Pack

US Commercial Property Chart Pack Q4 2025

All-property capital values were flat in Q3 and our CE Capital Value Lead Indicator suggests more of the same in Q4 and into early 2026. Lagging appraisal adjustments and still-high financing costs...

20th November 2025 · 0 mins read

UK Commercial Property Update

Key client questions from our commercial property in 2026 roundtables

Recently we held a series of roundtable discussions with clients in our London office about the outlook for commercial real estate in 2026 and beyond. This note shares our answers to some of the most...

18th November 2025 · 6 mins read