Economic Sentiment Indicators (Mar.)

The widespread slump in March’s Economic Sentiment Indicators (ESIs) for Central and Eastern Europe suggest that regional GDP growth slowed from 3.2% y/y in Q4 to around 2% y/y in Q1. But, with the survey not adequately capturing the effect of containment measures towards the end of March, sentiment in April is likely to fall further. We expect GDP to fall sharply in Q2.

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