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Are we wrong to shrug off the fall in GDP?

Even after taking a step back and looking at the bigger picture, we still don’t believe that the fall in GDP in the fourth quarter is much of a concern. Contractions in government spending and...

4th February 2013 · 1 min read

US Economics Update

What should the Fed make of the labour market?

The mixed messages in January's labour market report underline how hard it is for the financial markets to gauge exactly what the Fed means by its loosely defined pledge, to continue with its...

1st February 2013 · 1 min read

US Economics Update

Fed swaps one hawk for another

The latest Fed statement offers little new, apart from a change in the resident hawk on the FOMC. We still expect QE to be maintained at $85bn per month until early 2014.

31st January 2013 · 1 min read

US Economics Weekly

Republicans picking their battles

The Republicans opted to raise the debt ceiling temporarily because they believed it was politically expedient to link their demands for spending cuts to one of the many other potential budget...

28th January 2013 · 1 min read

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