Thank you! Click below to read the report Read the report now Don't have time to read it now? We've emailed you a link so you can read it at any time. You may also be interested in: US Economics Weekly Core inflation moderates as labour tightness fades The 0.1% m/m decline in headline CPI in December was principally due to a 9.4% m/m drop in gasoline prices, but core consumer prices also increased by a more modest 0.3% m/m, extending the run of... 13th January 2023 · 7 mins read US Economics Update Recession still more likely than soft landing The apparent resilience of employment in December has boosted hopes that the US can avoid a recession, but we still think that is unlikely. Employment is a coincident indicator whereas the only... 9th January 2023 · 2 mins read US Economics Weekly Activity weakening, despite labour market resilience The data this week suggested that the weak global backdrop is being compounded by a deterioration in domestic activity, although the labour market still appears to be in good health. Drop-Ins – The... 6th January 2023 · 6 mins read US Economics Update Recession Watch (Dec.) Our composite models continue to suggest that a recession this year is a near-certainty, with the implied odds of the economy being in recession in six months’ time and in one year’s time both above... 5th January 2023 · 5 mins read Pagination Previous … Page 118 Page 119 Page 120 Page 121 Current page 122 Page 123 Page 124 Page 125 Page 126 … Next
US Economics Weekly Core inflation moderates as labour tightness fades The 0.1% m/m decline in headline CPI in December was principally due to a 9.4% m/m drop in gasoline prices, but core consumer prices also increased by a more modest 0.3% m/m, extending the run of... 13th January 2023 · 7 mins read
US Economics Update Recession still more likely than soft landing The apparent resilience of employment in December has boosted hopes that the US can avoid a recession, but we still think that is unlikely. Employment is a coincident indicator whereas the only... 9th January 2023 · 2 mins read
US Economics Weekly Activity weakening, despite labour market resilience The data this week suggested that the weak global backdrop is being compounded by a deterioration in domestic activity, although the labour market still appears to be in good health. Drop-Ins – The... 6th January 2023 · 6 mins read
US Economics Update Recession Watch (Dec.) Our composite models continue to suggest that a recession this year is a near-certainty, with the implied odds of the economy being in recession in six months’ time and in one year’s time both above... 5th January 2023 · 5 mins read
