The latest leading indicators reveal plenty of momentum behind the recovery on both sides of the Atlantic. However, we still expect global growth to slow in the second half of the year and into 2012...

The current spike in oil prices has inevitably led to comparisons with other episodes when prices have surged over a relatively short period. The last five such episodes were all followed by global...

The turmoil in the Middle East has prompted a chorus of warnings that the world economy could be dragged back into recession if the price of oil continues to climb. We were already expecting global...

One obvious beneficiary of the continuing turmoil in the Middle East and North Africa is the price of gold, which has again popped above $1,400 per oz. Indeed, there are plenty of parallels with the...