The recent decline in China’s trade surplus is positive for global growth but it will rapidly reverse if commodity prices fall. Concerns that reduced currency intervention by China will push up...

We expect the pace of global growth to slow during this year, particularly in advanced economies. Restrictive fiscal policy will begin to bite and consumer spending will weaken. Inflation will rise...

The ECB’s widely anticipated decision to raise rates for the euro-zone today does not make it more likely that monetary policy will be tightened in other major advanced economies any time soon.

March’s PMI data show that despite the political turmoil elsewhere in the region, the UAE’s non-oil private sector’s recovery is gaining momentum.