The recent run of weak trade data has raised fresh concerns about the health of the global economy. However, the fall in the value of trade over the past year mostly reflects lower commodity prices...

The declines in the cost of crude oil since May have revived concerns about global growth and deflation risks. However, the falls mainly reflect positive supply-side developments and are also small...

July’s final manufacturing PMIs suggest that the world economy began the third quarter on a weak note. However, we expect global growth to hold up fairly well over the rest of the year as China’s...

Even though the US Fed is likely to begin raising interest rates in September, global monetary conditions are set to remain ultra-loose over the coming years as a number of other central banks ease...