Japan Data Response Japan Machinery Orders (Sep. 2022) Weakness in the manufacturing sector led to “core” machinery orders falling for a second consecutive month in September. Worse still, machine tool orders indicate that the two-month losing streak... 16th November 2022 · 2 mins read
Japan Data Response Japan GDP (Q3 2022 Preliminary) Japan’s economy contracted in Q3, with private consumption and business investment posting far weaker results than timelier data had suggested. Growth should turn positive in Q4, amid a rebound in... 15th November 2022 · 3 mins read
Japan Economics Weekly Thinner savings rate buffer for spending in Q4 Private consumption remained resilient in the face of the record COVID wave in Q3, suggesting that households have finally learned to live with the virus. We’ve revised up our Q3 spending forecast... 11th November 2022 · 8 mins read
Japan Data Response Japan Economy Watchers Survey (Oct. 2022) Current readings picked up in October’s Economy Watchers Survey but remain well short of the peaks seen after previous virus waves ended. The deepening gloom captured by the outlook readings suggest... 9th November 2022 · 2 mins read
Japan Data Response Japan Labour Cash Earnings (Sep. 22) The 2.1% rise in labour cash earnings in September was the fastest since 1997 but it was mostly driven by volatile bonus payments and won’t be sustained. However, regular earnings growth remained... 8th November 2022 · 3 mins read
Japan Economics Weekly Strength in business investment won’t be sustained We’re revising up our estimate of Q3 business investment as capital goods shipments surged and firms plan to spend the most on research and development in years. However, with a global manufacturing... 4th November 2022 · 5 mins read
Japan Data Response Japan Industrial Production & Retail Sales (Sep. 22) Industrial production declined in September whereas retail sales values saw another relatively strong rise. We are expecting a strong fourth quarter for retail sales, but industrial output looks set... 31st October 2022 · 2 mins read
Japan Rapid Response Japan Industrial Production & Retail Sales (Sep. 22) 31st October 2022 · 2 mins read
Japan Economics Weekly Public support will push inflation below 2% again The Tokyo CPI’s strength in October has prompted us to lift our forecast for the peak in underlying inflation from 2.5% to 3.0%. However, government support measures announced today mean that headline... 28th October 2022 · 6 mins read
Japan Data Response Labour Market & Tokyo CPI (Sep. 22) The unemployment rate rose slightly in September on the back of a large jump in the labour force but a continued rise in the job-to-applicant ratio suggests that the labour market will tighten again... 28th October 2022 · 5 mins read
Japan Economics Weekly Japan economy now in fourth place, but not for long With the yen reaching a 14-year low against the euro, we estimate that Germany's GDP has overtaken Japan's in US$-terms. However, as the yen is now more severely undervalued relative to fundamentals... 21st October 2022 · 5 mins read
Japan Data Response Japan Consumer Prices (Sep. 2022) Headline inflation remained at a three-decade high in September and will climb slightly higher by early 2023. That said, the Bank of Japan will remain steadfast in maintaining its ultra-easy monetary... 21st October 2022 · 3 mins read
