Event Property Drop-In: What are the risks around commercial real estate? 28th March 2023, 4:00PM BST A degree of calm has returned to markets, but investors remain nervous about where the next blow-up could occur – and attention is increasingly focused on commercial real estate. But are the concerns…
UK Commercial Property Update How much of a risk does UK CRE debt pose? The UK commercial real estate (CRE) debt market seems to be in a better position than the US, where troubled regional banks were the main providers of finance. That said, credit conditions are also... 22nd March 2023 · 3 mins read
US Commercial Property Update Where does property fit into the banking turmoil? While real estate is not the main cause of the current financial turbulence, as it was in the late 2000s, it has played an indirect role and may be implicated in any further instability. And property... 21st March 2023 · 4 mins read
US Commercial Property Update Initial US real estate takeaways from the bank collapses The direct impact on real estate of the collapse of two US regional banks over the weekend is likely to be relatively small. But we expect lending criteria to become more cautious in the short-term... 16th March 2023 · 4 mins read
UK Housing Market Data Response Mortgage Lenders and Administrators Return (Q4 22) The detailed mortgage lending data for Q4 showed a slump in demand, as rising mortgage rates began to bite. The latest MLAR data confirmed the sharp turnaround in market conditions and suggest that... 14th March 2023 · 2 mins read
US Commercial Property Data Response Commercial Property Lending (Feb.) Net commercial real estate lending ticked up in February following a slowdown the month prior. That said, monthly lending activity across all sectors remained below the average for 2022. With January... 13th March 2023 · 2 mins read
US Housing Market Data Response Mortgage Applications (Feb.) Stronger-than-expected economic data led to a resurgence in mortgage rates in February, which put a stop to a tentative recovery in mortgage applications for home purchase. This points to sales... 1st March 2023 · 2 mins read
UK Commercial Property Data Response Lending to commercial property (Jan.) Net lending to property was once again positive in January, even as commercial property investment collapsed in the final quarter of last year. Investors may be preparing to re-enter the market and... 1st March 2023 · 3 mins read
UK Housing Market Data Response Mortgage Lending (Jan.) The spike in mortgage rates in October and November last year ensured that mortgage approvals remained at a similar level to the depths of the 2007-09 financial crisis in January. That could mark the... 1st March 2023 · 3 mins read
UK Housing Market Update Buyers respond to higher rates by borrowing less Higher interest rates have begun to reduce the size of mortgage that buyers take out. As two-thirds of buyers rely on a mortgage, that will decrease most buyers’ budgets and put further downward... 23rd February 2023 · 3 mins read
Middle East & North Africa Economics Weekly Dubai GRE debts, Tunisia’s IMF deal, Saudi real estate Dubai’s economic backdrop has improved markedly in the past year or so and has provided government-related entities with room to breathe in the face of large debt repayments this year, including a $5... 16th February 2023 · 6 mins read
US Commercial Property Data Response Commercial Property Lending (Jan.) The expected slowdown in net lending to real estate began to show in January. This was seen across all sectors and the latest Senior Loan Officer survey suggested this will continue, as banks cited a... 13th February 2023 · 2 mins read
US Housing Market Outlook Slow recovery in sales and further falls in prices Housing market activity is likely to recover only gradually from its current lows, which means we think 2023 will be the weakest year for sales since 2012. Affordability will remain stretched by past... 10th February 2023 · 18 mins read
US Housing Market Data Response Mortgage Applications (Jan.) The sharp rise in mortgage applications in January adds to the evidence that housing demand has bottomed out. As mortgage rates continue to trend lower and house prices fall a further 6%, we expect... 1st February 2023 · 2 mins read
UK Housing Market Data Response Mortgage Lending (Dec.) A further slump in mortgage approvals in December, to the lowest level since the height of the pandemic, confirmed that the extremely high cost of mortgage borrowing has caused more buyers to withdraw... 31st January 2023 · 3 mins read
UK Commercial Property Data Response Lending to commercial property (Dec.) Even as investors have pulled back from the market, net lending to property remained positive in December. That may reflect some distressed borrowing as investors looks to boost liquidity in the face... 31st January 2023 · 3 mins read
