US Housing Market Outlook Trump's affordability push to have limited success President Trump’s proposals to improve housing affordability are not enough to move the dial, which would require a sustained decline in mortgage rates. Unfortunately, our positive outlook for the... 14th January 2026 · 11 mins read
China Economics Update Urban redevelopment plans don’t tick stimulus box This week’s Central Urban Work Conference didn’t deliver the revival of the shantytown redevelopment scheme that helped stabilise China’s housing market a decade ago and that some had been hoping for... 18th July 2025 · 4 mins read
Event US Drop-In: Housing market outlook – Can Trump make homes affordable? 12th February 2026, 3:00PM GMT The Trump administration has announced a flurry of measures aimed at making US housing more affordable, from proposed bans on institutional investors to the resumption of bond purchas
Event UK Drop-In – Will the housing market fare better this year than last year? 19th February 2026, 3:00PM GMT How much further will mortgage rates fall? Will the subdued economy dampen housing activity? Will homebuilders finally start to build more? How much will rents growth slow?
China Economics Update Presales ban wouldn’t support home prices much China is moving toward ending its decades-old system of “presales” for newly-built residential property. This would reduce risks for homebuyers. But hopes that the change would provide a material... 1st July 2025 · 6 mins read
China Economics Update Homebuilding downturn will continue for years Policy support is helping developers secure financing and should boost their sales this year. This will allow them to intensify work on existing projects. But it won’t prevent homebuilding activity... 27th February 2025 · 4 mins read
UK Housing Market Update Are there enough workers to build 300,000 homes a year? Even if the government’s easing of planning rules were to mean that at least 300,000 new home approvals in England were granted a year, the number of construction workers would need to rise... 26th November 2024 · 3 mins read
UK Housing Market Update Budget not a game-changer for the housing market The policies announced in yesterday’s Budget won’t have a significant bearing on the housing market. But the prospect that interest rates are a bit higher may soften demand and creates some downside... 31st October 2024 · 5 mins read
UK Housing Market Outlook Lower mortgage rates to outdo higher taxes A fall in mortgage rates from 4.5% now to around 3.6% in late 2025 may mean that, despite increases in taxes in the Budget on 30th October, house prices rise by 5.0% in 2025 rather than the consensus... 22nd October 2024 · 16 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Economics Weekly Changes to housing tax breaks could hit rental supply The Australian government is reportedly considering clamping down on tax breaks for property investors. If the government did indeed reduce and/or phase out existing tax concessions, it would make the... 4th October 2024 · 4 mins read
China Economics Update Property stimulus: announced measures still fall short Despite driving a surge in developer stock prices, the property support measures announced so far aren’t that different from previous efforts and are unlikely, on their own, to deliver much better... 2nd October 2024 · 6 mins read
China Rapid Response China Politburo Meeting (Sep. 24) The readout of the Politburo’s quarterly meeting on economic affairs has just been published by state media. It acknowledges that new problems have emerged in the Chinese economy recently and calls... 26th September 2024 · 2 mins read
China Economics Weekly Officials ease price controls, mull direct homebuying Allowing local governments to use special bond issuance to directly purchase unsold homes could address the lack of SOE participation in the current property destocking scheme. But this approach would... 23rd August 2024 · 4 mins read
China Economics Focus How to fix China’s property destocking scheme The property support measures included in yesterday’s stimulus announcement won’t be enough to drive a turnaround in the housing market. In a detailed analysis of the government’s property destocking... 16th August 2024 · 18 mins read
