Europe Rapid Response Euro-zone EC Survey (August 2026) August’s euro-zone Economic Sentiment Indicator (ESI) suggests that the economy has continued to expand despite higher energy prices and extreme summer heat. And the selling price expectations indices... 28th August 2026 · 2 mins read
Bonds Focus How hedge funds are shaking up sovereign bond markets The increased footprint of hedge funds in sovereign bond markets is one reason why these markets will remain susceptible to frequent bouts of volatility. This Focus examines, more broadly, the risks... 26th August 2026 · 19 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Tech-related demand to support prime rents in Berlin and Munich Strong tech-related demand is set to support faster growth in prime rents in Munich and Berlin than the other main German markets while the AI boom persists. However, we expect rent growth to ease... 25th August 2026 · 3 mins read
Europe Rapid Response Germany Ifo Survey (August 2026) Germany’s August Ifo survey and detailed Q2 GDP release added to evidence of surprising economic resilience and support the case for near-term policy tightening by the ECB. 25th August 2026 · 2 mins read
Europe Economics Weekly Bond markets and underlying inflation under control? Since the Iran war began, the sell-off in euro-zone government bond markets has been greatest in countries with high and/or rising public debt. We forecast yields across the currency union to fall... 21st August 2026 · 5 mins read
Europe Rapid Response Euro-zone Flash PMIs (August 2026) The euro-zone’s Composite PMI was broadly unchanged in August and, together with the continued fall in the input and output price indices, suggests that the euro-zone economy is continuing to shrug... 21st August 2026 · 2 mins read
Europe Economics Update Rising EV exports won’t offset falling ICE sales The euro-zone’s exports of cars have fallen dramatically since 2017. This loss is driven by internal combustion engine vehicles, whereas exports of electric vehicles (EVs) are rising rapidly. Even if... 20th August 2026 · 3 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Chart Pack Europe Commercial Property Chart Pack (Q3 2026) Property markets were relatively unaffected by the Iran war in Q2, with investment activity strengthening and property yields rising only modestly. Assuming the Strait of Hormuz is not disrupted for a... 20th August 2026 · 0 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Deterioration in sentiment largely reversed in Q2 RICS survey The Q2 RICS survey suggests surveyors are now less pessimistic about the Iran war’s impact on European commercial property markets. And while credit conditions deteriorated further, other survey... 19th August 2026 · 2 mins read
Europe Economics Update Euro-zone headline inflation will soon rise to 3.5% The indirect effects of higher energy prices on core inflation in the euro-zone have been close to non-existent so far, but they are likely to build in the second half of the year. If energy prices... 19th August 2026 · 3 mins read
Europe Economics Weekly Why has the euro-zone economy kept growing? Data published this morning confirmed that euro-zone GDP continued to grow around its trend rate in Q2, despite a sharp rise in energy prices. We forecast that the energy import bill will fall back in... 14th August 2026 · 5 mins read
Europe Rapid Response Euro-zone GDP & Employment (Q2 2026) The euro-zone economy continued to grow around its trend rate in the second quarter, despite the rise in energy prices. We expect GDP to keep expanding at a moderate pace in the second half of the... 14th August 2026 · 2 mins read
Europe Economics Update Energy-intensive industrial production set to fall further Production in the euro-zone’s most energy-intensive manufacturing sectors rose in March and April, despite the jump in oil and natural gas prices. This is because firms’ gas and electricity costs did... 13th August 2026 · 3 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Investment recovery will not be pushed off course by Iran war Lower interest rates and an improving bank lending environment mean we expect euro-zone investment to pick up in H2, allowing the full-year total to rise by somewhat more than the 15% annual rate of... 11th August 2026 · 3 mins read
Europe Economics Weekly Feeling the heat In the near term, Europe's summer heatwave is unlikely to have a meaningful impact on GDP but poses an upside risk to inflation through its effect on food, electricity and gas prices. Nevertheless... 7th August 2026 · 6 mins read
