Global Markets Focus Oil fundamentals will bring prices back down to earth Speculative pressure can only push oil prices so far before fundamental demand and supply conditions reassert themselves, leading to a potentially sharp correction. We expect (Brent) crude oil prices... 19th March 2008 · 1 min read
UK Economics Focus Consumer dangers just as great in the UK The parallels between UK and US consumers are disturbing, with the UK consumer sector having seen just as big a build-up of imbalances as that in the US. The UK could therefore soon find itself... 19th March 2008 · 1 min read
UK Economics Focus Consumer dangers just as great in the UK The parallels between UK and US consumers are disturbing, with the UK consumer sector having seen just as big a build-up of imbalances as that in the US. The UK could therefore soon find itself... 19th March 2008 · 1 min read
UK Commercial Property Focus Commercial property defaults to rise? Over the next couple of years, we estimate that the UK’s commercial property correction could plausibly leave banks and holders of commercial mortgage backed securities (CMBS) facing cumulative losses... 19th March 2008 · 1 min read
UK Economics Update Clothing sales to suffer more heavily this time Today’s gloomy comments from clothing retailer Next about trading conditions over the coming year echo our view that clothing is unlikely to escape as lightly during this slowdown as it did in 2005. 19th March 2008 · 1 min read
UK Economics Update Clothing sales to suffer more heavily this time Today’s gloomy comments from clothing retailer Next about trading conditions over the coming year echo our view that clothing is unlikely to escape as lightly during this slowdown as it did in 2005. 19th March 2008 · 1 min read
UK Commercial Property Data Response Financial & business services employment (07 Q4) 19th March 2008 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economic Outlook Growth trends set to diverge (Q1 2008) On the whole, Emerging Europe looks well placed to weather a global economic slowdown. Providing growth in the euro-zone does not slow too sharply, the region should expand by around 6% this year. But... 18th March 2008 · 1 min read