Europe Economics Focus Just how heavily will Europe suffer? Despite the recent weakness in the region, there are still reasons to think that at least some parts of Europe might suffer a shallower and shorter downturn than that underway in the United States... 11th December 2008 · 1 min read
Non-Euro Europe Commercial Property Outlook Emerging Europe to underperform the Euro-zone (Q1 2009) With very few exceptions, total returns in noneuro European commercial property markets are, on average, forecast to be negative in 2009 and 2010, before recovering in 2011 and beyond. (See Charts 1... 10th December 2008 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Outlook Smaller markets to outperform during the correction (Q1 2009) Over the next two years, falling capital values, generated by rising yields mean that total returns are likely to be low or even negative in many Euro-zone property markets with the smaller markets... 10th December 2008 · 1 min read
UK Markets Chart Pack Bond yields plunge (Dec 08) Over the past month, global short-dated bond yields have plunged as the markets have come round to our view that official interest rates in the UK and elsewhere will drop to record lows. What’s more... 10th December 2008 · 1 min read
UK Housing Market Update Rise in new buyer enquiries needs to be treated with caution At first glance, yesterday brought some rare positive news from the beleaguered housing market. According to the CML, first-time buyers’ share of mortgage lending rose to a three-and-a-half year high... 10th December 2008 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Italian GDP (Q3), French & Italian Industrial Production (Oct.) 10th December 2008 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Brace for an awful Tankan We expect the headline numbers from the Bank of Japan’s quarterly “Tankan” survey for December, released next Monday, to be even worse than the consensus. Our forecast for the large manufacturers’... 10th December 2008 · 1 min read
Japan Economics Update Brace for an awful Tankan We expect the headline numbers from the Bank of Japan’s quarterly “Tankan” survey for December, released next Monday, to be even worse than the consensus. Our forecast for the large manufacturers’... 10th December 2008 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Russia: Grim Q3 GDP numbers; recession next year? 9th December 2008 · 1 min read
Global Economics Update What would be the implications of an Ecuadorian default? 9th December 2008 · 1 min read
US Fed Watch Fed’s focus on quantitative easing rather than rate policy 9th December 2008 · 1 min read