UK Data Response Nationwide House Prices (Apr.) The contradictory messages offered by the Halifax and Nationwide house price data make it almost impossible to draw clear conclusions about the health of the market. But, at the very least, May’s drop... 29th April 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Does Greece really have a silver lining? Recent falls in the euro and euro-zone bond yields, coupled with stronger economic data from the core economies, has led to suggestions that the Greek crisis might have a silver lining. But we find it... 28th April 2010 · 1 min read
Latin America Economics Update Drop in Chilean manufacturing is only half of the story 28th April 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Focus Will the euro-zone survive? The euro-zone should stay together for another few years at least. But the region’s periphery requires an excruciating competitive adjustment that might well plunge it into depression. Meanwhile... 28th April 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Is Greece the next Lehmans? The crisis in Greece could pose as big a risk to the global economy and financial markets as the collapse of Lehman Brothers did in September 2008. In some respects the wider fall-out might even be... 28th April 2010 · 1 min read
UK Economics Update Could a strong pound be a post-election headache? Analysis of the likely behaviour and influence of the exchange rate after the election has tended to focus on the possibility of a further sharp depreciation in the event of a hung parliament. But... 28th April 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response German CPI (1st Est. Apr.) The latest German inflation figures show that, while the economy may be performing much better than the euro-zone’s periphery, core price pressures even there are firmly downward. 28th April 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Tight credit conditions keep the brakes on the property recovery This morning’s ECB bank lending survey suggests that credit conditions for business and household lending in the euro-zone remained tight in Q1 2010. With expectations for Q2 much the same, this will... 28th April 2010 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Assessing the contagion risks from Greece Financial markets across the region have been hit by the latest developments in Greece, but contagion risks are greatest in Bulgaria, Romania and Hungary. 28th April 2010 · 1 min read
UK Economics Update Public sector job cuts could yet take unemployment to 3m The argument over whether Labour’s National Insurance rise or the Conservatives’ efficiency savings will cost more jobs detracts from the bigger picture that the required fiscal squeeze will result in... 28th April 2010 · 1 min read
UK Economics Update Public sector job cuts could yet take unemployment to 3m The argument over whether Labour’s National Insurance rise or the Conservatives’ efficiency savings will cost more jobs detracts from the bigger picture that the required fiscal squeeze will result in... 28th April 2010 · 1 min read
UK Commercial Property Chart Pack Central London office rents rise in March; outlook is positive (May 10) The economy got off to a slow start in 2010, with GDP rising by just 0.2%q/q in Q1. That was well below analysts’ expectations for a rise of roughly 0.5%, and reflected a fairly big fall in... 28th April 2010 · 1 min read
Capital Daily US FOMC should reiterate “extended period” pledge on rates 28th April 2010 · 1 min read
