US Rapid Response US Consumer Prices (Aug 2026) The upside surprise to core CPI in August will result in another above-target-consistent gain in the core PCE deflator and means the Fed looks set to hike next week. 11th September 2026 · 2 mins read
Capital Daily Would a 5% 10Y Treasury yield really be a tipping point? Today’s further, oil-price-driven, sell-off in global sovereign bonds has seen the 10-year US Treasury yield rise to almost 5%, which is seen by some as a threshold above which financial markets might... 10th September 2026 · 4 mins read
China Economics Focus China’s export gains go beyond strategic goods Concerns abroad about China’s surging exports have largely focused on “strategic sectors”. Less acknowledged is that China has been gaining significant global market share across the board, including... 10th September 2026 · 5 mins read
US Housing Market Rapid Response US Existing Home Sales (Aug. 2026) The fall in existing home sales to 3.98m annualised in August will likely be followed by further declines over the next few months, as mortgage rates look set to climb above 7% amid a further selloff... 10th September 2026 · 2 mins read
US Rapid Response US Producer Prices (Aug 2026) The key components of the PPI that feed into the core PCE deflator were fairly strong in August, raising the chance of the Fed hiking interest rates next week. Admittedly, that still depends on the... 10th September 2026 · 2 mins read
Equities Focus Most indicators suggest the AI equity boom is nearing an end Looking across a range of equity market “bubble” indicators supports our view that while the S&P 500’s rally has further to run this year, its medium-term prospects are poor given how frothy the... 10th September 2026 · 10 mins read
Global Commercial Property Focus Which global self-storage markets are ready for blast off? The Nordics and Switzerland stand out amongst a set of 19 global self-storage markets for their potential growth over the next 5-10 years. These markets will see a reasonably high rate of home-moving... 9th September 2026 · 12 mins read
Canada Economics Update Trump ups the ante with import ban on Canada President Trump’s import ban covers only 0.25% of Canada’s exports to the US and will have little effect on either economy. Nonetheless, Trump’s willingness to impose an import ban is further evidence... 9th September 2026 · 4 mins read
Capital Daily We expect a rally, not just a rotation The strong performance of semiconductor stocks since OpenAI’s announcement of GPT-6 last week hasn’t lifted the S&P 500 index much, partly because of offsetting weakness in software stocks. But a... 8th September 2026 · 4 mins read
US Commercial Property Update Q3 26 PREA consensus for 2027 shows little sector variance There was another cut to the PREA consensus forecast for 2026, led again by residential. But the all-property forecast for 2027 saw no change and there is very little differentiation between five of... 8th September 2026 · 3 mins read
Capital Daily Respite for bonds may be limited and uneven We expect German bunds to fare well in the medium term, almost regardless of what the ECB says this week. But US Treasuries aren’t likely to get the same relief. 7th September 2026 · 6 mins read
Capital Daily Payrolls resurgence strengthens the case for a dollar rebound The sharp rebound in US non-farm payrolls in August means that FOMC rate hikes may come sooner rather than later. In turn, that points to a rebound in the US dollar and further upwards pressure on US... 4th September 2026 · 4 mins read
Canada Economics Weekly Bank of Canada joins the hawks The Bank of Canada delivered a hawkish message this week, but the latest labour market data suggest that it will be in no rush to normalise policy. 4th September 2026 · 4 mins read
US Economics Weekly Is the Fed destined to be behind the curve? The economic indicators this week suggest that the economy and labour market are humming along while firms are increasingly concerned about inflation risks. Nonetheless, the communications from Fed... 4th September 2026 · 5 mins read
Canada Rapid Response Canada Labour Force Survey (Aug. 2026) The sharp 41,700 fall in employment in August and further slowdown in wage growth pushes back against the idea that the economy has decisively turned a corner, and leaves the Bank of Canada’s hawkish... 4th September 2026 · 2 mins read
US Rapid Response US Employment Report (Aug 2026) Even the most committed dove would struggle to find much in the August employment report to justify keeping interest rates unchanged, with the surge in payrolls driven by strength across the non... 4th September 2026 · 3 mins read
