Global Commercial Property Update Alternative real estate sectors set to gain more ground In an environment of relatively weak economic growth, alternative sectors stand to benefit from a lower reliance on cyclical drivers, and support from structural trends that will drive long-term... 24th March 2026 · 3 mins read
Capital Daily What we can learn from markets’ latest rebound The positive reaction to the latest news on the war provides some guide as to how things might fare if it de-escalates further, and suggests that the damage in some markets might be a bit longer... 24th March 2026 · 4 mins read
Capital Daily Markets back in escalation mode Escalation in the war remains bad news for asset markets. And while central banks haven’t themselves done much to de-escalate conditions in the bond market, there’s a case, in our view, for an... 23rd March 2026 · 5 mins read
US Economics Weekly Goods inflation a thorn in the Fed’s side The sharp repricing in futures markets toward discounting the chance of a Fed hike this year looks somewhat overdone, especially given the Fed’s commentary following this week’s rate decision. While... 20th March 2026 · 4 mins read
Canada Economics Weekly War-charged markets push back against dovish Bank Despite the Bank of Canada striking a relatively dovish tone with this week's rate decision, it has found itself swept up in the broader rally in investors' rate expectations. Our base case remains... 20th March 2026 · 4 mins read
Canada Rapid Response Canada Retail Sales (Jan. 2026) The 1.1% m/m rise in retail sales in January was worse than expected but, along with February’s advance estimate for another gain, still paints a more positive picture for household spending than late... 20th March 2026 · 2 mins read
Capital Daily The future might not be so bad for government bonds While the conflict in the Middle East could evolve in myriad ways, we think government bonds would typically recover in our ‘baseline’ scenario but struggle in our ‘adverse’ one. That largely reflects... 19th March 2026 · 4 mins read
US Housing Market Rapid Response US New Home Sales (Jan. 2026) The large drop in new home sales in January reflects the impact of extreme cold weather across much of the country, and is likely to have reversed last month. Moreover, newbuild sales are less... 19th March 2026 · 2 mins read
US Economics Update High oil prices risk stalling nascent manufacturing recovery Sustained high oil prices would stall the nascent manufacturing recovery by weighing on global demand. The data centre buildout would likely go on unaffected, however, sustaining strong demand for hi... 19th March 2026 · 4 mins read
US Economics Update Limited changes from the FOMC as it waits for more clarity The FOMC’s statement and dot plot today were arguably not as hawkish as many speculated, with the Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) still pointing to one interest rate cut this year, despite an... 18th March 2026 · 3 mins read
US Rapid Response US Fed Policy Announcement (Mar 2026) The FOMC’s statement and dot plot today were arguably not as hawkish as many speculated, with the Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) still pointing to one interest rate cut this year, despite an... 18th March 2026 · 2 mins read
Canada Economics Update Bank cautiously pushes back against rate hike expectations The Bank of Canada sounded marginally dovish while keeping its key policy rate at 2.25% today, stating that the growth outlook had worsened and downplaying the risks of second-round effects from... 18th March 2026 · 3 mins read
Capital Daily Fed unlikely to join the hiking crew The inflation backdrop is growing increasingly problematic for the Fed and rate cuts are not likely anytime soon. That said, our sense is that the chance of rate hikes and a meaningful further sell... 18th March 2026 · 4 mins read
Canada Rapid Response Bank of Canada Policy Announcement (Mar 2026) The Bank of Canada sounded marginally dovish while keeping its key policy rate at 2.25% today, stating that the growth outlook had worsened and that it would look through the Iran war’s immediate... 18th March 2026 · 2 mins read
US Rapid Response US Producer Prices (Feb. 2026) The large upside surprise to the PPI in February confirms that stronger inflationary pressures were already making their way through supply chains even prior to the surge in oil prices. Final demand... 18th March 2026 · 2 mins read
Canada Economics Update Canada Housing Watch (Mar. 2026) There is no relief in sight for the troubled housing market, with the spike in global oil prices likely to push up mortgage rates in the coming weeks. That has led us to downgrade our forecast for... 17th March 2026 · 4 mins read
