Global Commercial Property Update Life science to outperform, but will remain a niche sector While supply headwinds have hit life science performance in recent years, long-term fundamentals have been reinforced by the pandemic. We expect a recovery in the short term and strong performance... 16th April 2026 · 5 mins read
US Economics Update Core PCE-CPI inflation gap to narrow later this year Most of the factors causing the unusual situation of core PCE inflation being higher than core CPI inflation should reverse by the turn of the year, with core PCE inflation falling while core CPI... 15th April 2026 · 5 mins read
Capital Daily Making sense of rate expectations Despite apparent contradictions between market pricing and consensus surveys when it comes to interest rate expectations, both seem consistent with a relatively “adverse” outcome to the war. That... 15th April 2026 · 3 mins read
Canada Rapid Response Canada Manufacturing & Wholesale Sales (Feb 2026) The healthy rebound in both manufacturing and wholesale sales in February was expected given the end of seasonal retooling at various automakers, and supports the view that GDP edged higher that month... 15th April 2026 · 2 mins read
US Rapid Response US Producer Prices (Mar 2026) After a strong couple of months, the downside surprise in core producer prices in March offers some encouragement for the Fed that pipeline inflation pressures are not spiralling out of control... 14th April 2026 · 2 mins read
US Housing Market Rapid Response US Existing Home Sales (Mar. 2026) Existing home sales fell back below the historically weak 4m annualised level in March and prospects for April do not look much better, as timely indicators point to weakening housing demand following... 13th April 2026 · 2 mins read
Global Commercial Property Chart Pack Global Commercial Property Chartpack (Q1 2026) The rise in economic uncertainty and market interest rates because of the Iran war will weigh on property market activity in the first half of the year. However, under our baseline scenario (in which... 13th April 2026 · 0 mins read
Capital Daily Two steps forward, one step back for markets The weekend’s news is potentially another blow to markets, although investors have so far interpreted it fairly cautiously. Even in a benign scenario, though, we suspect there’s little medium-term... 13th April 2026 · 5 mins read
US Economics Weekly Households lack cushion against gasoline price shock The sharp fall in the saving rate to 4.0% in February predates the Iran war and may signal what lies ahead as households absorb much higher fuel bills. This limited cushion suggests households will... 10th April 2026 · 5 mins read
Canada Economics Weekly USTR’s CUSMA guarantee will do little to settle nerves US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer's comments this week confirm that the Trump administration will not elect to renew CUSMA on July 1st, raising uncertainty over when a new trade framework will be... 10th April 2026 · 5 mins read
Capital Daily The rally in non-US bonds has room to run While government bonds have rallied since news of a ceasefire broke, they have unwound less of their initial sell-off than other assets. We think the rally has further to go in most countries, albeit... 10th April 2026 · 4 mins read
Global Commercial Property Update How will AI job cuts influence office demand? Tech occupations are the most exposed to the impact of AI, but that doesn’t necessarily mean that sector will see the most job losses. That said, a decline in the share of pre-lets to the sector in... 10th April 2026 · 3 mins read
US Rapid Response US University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment (Apr 2026) The plunge in consumer sentiment to a record low in April lends some support to our forecast that real consumption growth will be weak this quarter, even if the link between sentiment and spending has... 10th April 2026 · 2 mins read
Canada Rapid Response Canada Labour Force Survey (Mar 2026) March’s uneventful Labour Force Survey, paired with the drop back in oil prices in recent days, supports our view that the Bank of Canada will be content to wait until next year to change policy. 10th April 2026 · 2 mins read
US Rapid Response US Consumer Prices (Mar 2026) The jump in headline CPI inflation to 3.3% in March, from 2.4%, was as expected due to the surge in energy prices, with the more important development for the Fed being the lack of any major... 10th April 2026 · 3 mins read
Commodities Update Brent-WTI spread would normalise if Iran conflict ends The conflict in Iran has distorted the spread between Brent and WTI crude oil prices. But if the recently agreed ceasefire holds and oil starts flowing more freely through the Strait of Hormuz, we... 9th April 2026 · 3 mins read
